Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

89.8%Duke

10.2%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -13.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -880

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreWake Forest 69

Team Comparison

DukeMetricWake Forest

81.7MMH Power Index57.6

122.2Offensive Efficiency112.4

95.2Defensive Efficiency109.7

27.0Net Efficiency2.7

7.8Strength of Schedule7.2

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

66.8Tempo70.2

56.9%Effective FG%52.8%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

39.0%Free Throw Rate36.1%

18.0Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–57.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–112.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–109.7), net efficiency (27.0–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHball security (15.5–15.9).

Final

Duke

79—83

Wake Forest

Wake Forest by 4 • 61.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATWake Forest

26-49FG29-48

53.1%FG%60.4%

11-253PT9-17

44.0%3PT%52.9%

16-20FT16-22

80.0%FT%72.7%

28Rebounds20

8Offensive Rebounds4

12Assists14

11Turnovers6

4Steals5

2Blocks—

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	38	6-13	1-6	4-4	8	5	0	0	17
Jeremy Roach	Guard	28	6-8	1-1	3-3	3	2	0	0	16
Jared McCain	Guard	36	4-7	3-4	4-4	5	1	1	1	15
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	31	5-10	4-8	0-0	1	3	0	0	14
Caleb Foster	G	22	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Mark Mitchell	G	28	2-5	0-1	2-5	4	0	2	1	6
Ryan Young	Center	12	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	0	1	0	3
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sean Stewart	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	39	11-13	5-6	2-2	6	1	1	29
Andrew Carr	Forward	34	8-14	1-4	1-2	1	4	1	18
Boopie Miller	G	32	4-8	2-3	5-7	1	5	0	15
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	35	2-5	1-1	7-8	4	1	3	12
Efton Reid III	Forward	33	3-5	0-1	0-1	3	3	0	6
Matthew Marsh	Center	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Parker Friedrichsen	G	14	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	1
Damari Monsanto	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.0Possessions61.0

129.5Offensive Efficiency136.1

136.1Defensive Efficiency129.5

-6.6Net Efficiency6.6

64.3%Effective FG%69.8%

67.5%True Shooting %71.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate9.9%

40.8%Free Throw Rate45.8%

51.0%3-Point Rate35.4%

1.09Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 61.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.