Iowa

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.2%Iowa

86.8%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -658

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa 67

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreIllinois 80

Team Comparison

IowaMetricIllinois

64.2MMH Power Index76.5

118.4Offensive Efficiency125.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency103.3

13.2Net Efficiency21.7

5.3Strength of Schedule6.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

63.0Tempo66.5

56.6%Effective FG%54.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

36.2%Free Throw Rate33.8%

8.3Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.4), defensive efficiency (103.3–105.2), net efficiency (21.7–13.2).

Iowa COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.6–54.8), free throw rate (36.2–33.8).

Final

Iowa

85—95

Illinois

Illinois by 10 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IowaTEAM STATIllinois

30-63FG31-63

47.6%FG%49.2%

4-123PT10-27

33.3%3PT%37.0%

21-25FT23-30

84.0%FT%76.7%

32Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists16

11Turnovers10

6Steals7

3Blocks1

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Dix	G	37	9-15	2-5	0-0	0	1	1	0	20
Tony Perkins	Guard	33	5-14	1-3	7-8	8	4	2	0	18
Ben Krikke	Forward	30	7-9	0-0	1-1	5	1	1	0	15
Payton Sandfort	Forward	32	3-11	0-2	6-6	7	2	1	1	12
Owen Freeman	F	29	2-5	0-0	4-6	8	3	0	1	8
Ladji Dembele	F	7	2-2	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	6
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	21	1-5	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	1	4
Brock Harding	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Pryce Sandfort	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	30	9-11	3-5	9-11	2	5	5	0	30
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	34	4-10	2-7	2-2	3	3	0	0	12
Justin Harmon	Guard	19	3-3	0-0	6-6	4	1	0	0	12
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	19	4-9	1-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
Niccolo Moretti	G	17	2-3	2-2	3-4	2	1	0	0	9
Marcus Domask	Forward	29	2-9	1-4	3-4	6	2	0	0	8
Dain Dainja	Forward	14	3-7	0-0	0-3	8	1	1	1	6
Amani Hansberry	F	13	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Luke Goode	Forward	10	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Ty Rodgers	G	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

114.7Offensive Efficiency128.2

128.2Defensive Efficiency114.7

-13.5Net Efficiency13.5

50.8%Effective FG%57.1%

56.8%True Shooting %61.5%

14.7%Turnover Rate13.7%

39.7%Free Throw Rate47.6%

19.0%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Illinois won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.