San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.9%San Diego State

28.1%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -256

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 77

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreFresno State 71

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricFresno State

60.1MMH Power Index47.1

110.3Offensive Efficiency104.9

99.3Defensive Efficiency104.9

11.0Net Efficiency0.0

3.8Strength of Schedule1.5

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

70.8Tempo69.4

53.2%Effective FG%51.3%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate35.5%

7.8Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–47.1), offensive efficiency (110.3–104.9), defensive efficiency (99.3–104.9), net efficiency (11.0–0.0).

Final

San Diego State

73—41

Fresno State

San Diego State by 32 • 59.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATFresno State

28-67FG14-57

41.8%FG%24.6%

8-273PT5-27

29.6%3PT%18.5%

9-11FT8-12

81.8%FT%66.7%

52Rebounds34

17Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists3

5Turnovers7

3Steals4

9Blocks4

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	26	8-11	1-1	5-6	11	2	0	3	22
Jay Pal	Forward	23	6-9	0-1	2-3	5	0	0	0	14
Reese Waters	Guard	24	5-11	2-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	12
Micah Parrish	Guard	24	3-10	2-5	2-2	7	1	1	1	10
Darrion Trammell	Guard	33	3-7	1-4	0-0	2	6	1	0	7
Elijah Saunders	F	13	1-5	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Miles Byrd	G	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
Lamont Butler	Guard	19	1-6	0-2	0-0	5	3	1	1	2
Miles Heide	F	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	0
BJ Davis	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Ryan Schwarz	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cam Lawin	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Alger	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Hill	Guard	35	5-14	1-6	1-2	3	1	2	0	12
Xavier DuSell	Guard	38	4-13	2-10	0-0	3	0	0	1	10
Isaiah Pope	Guard	32	2-11	2-6	3-4	5	0	2	0	9
Leo Colimerio	Forward	31	2-4	0-1	1-2	8	0	0	0	5
Jalen Weaver	Guard	28	1-6	0-2	1-2	3	2	0	2	3
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	8	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Chase Courtney	Forward	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Isaac Taveras	G	9	0-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Steven Vasquez	Guard	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.5Possessions59.5

122.7Offensive Efficiency68.9

68.9Defensive Efficiency122.7

53.8Net Efficiency-53.8

47.8%Effective FG%28.9%

50.5%True Shooting %32.7%

8.3%Turnover Rate11.9%

16.4%Free Throw Rate21.1%

40.3%3-Point Rate47.4%

2.60Assist / Turnover0.43

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 32 points. The game played at approximately 59.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.