Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Colorado State

55.5%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNLV -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUNLV -125

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 76

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreUNLV 78

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricUNLV

55.4MMH Power Index52.8

117.1Offensive Efficiency111.0

109.9Defensive Efficiency109.6

7.2Net Efficiency1.4

0.4Strength of Schedule2.7

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

64.7Tempo71.4

58.6%Effective FG%53.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.2%Free Throw Rate41.6%

4.6Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–52.8), offensive efficiency (117.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.2–1.4), recent form (4.3–1.1).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.6–109.9), strength of schedule (2.7–0.4), ball security (17.2–18.3).

Final

Colorado State

60—66

UNLV

UNLV by 6 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATUNLV

21-54FG17-45

38.9%FG%37.8%

6-243PT6-17

25.0%3PT%35.3%

12-18FT26-31

66.7%FT%83.9%

27Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists8

8Turnovers12

7Steals4

2Blocks3

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	35	6-13	2-6	4-4	1	6	1	0	18
Joel Scott	Forward	29	5-8	0-1	3-5	7	1	1	0	13
Nique Clifford	Guard	34	4-10	2-4	0-0	7	5	3	1	10
Rashaan Mbemba	F	12	1-4	0-1	5-8	2	1	1	0	7
Josiah Strong	Guard	33	2-5	1-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Patrick Cartier	Forward	28	2-8	0-4	0-0	4	2	1	0	4
Jalen Lake	Guard	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Joe Palmer	Guard	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Tavi Jackson	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	36	5-14	1-4	12-12	6	1	1	0	23
Luis Rodriguez	Guard	34	2-6	2-3	8-8	6	2	2	1	14
Keylan Boone	Forward	37	4-9	2-5	1-1	4	1	0	0	11
Kalib Boone	Forward	24	3-5	0-0	2-6	6	1	1	2	8
Rob Whaley Jr.	F	19	2-5	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Jackie Johnson III	Guard	10	1-5	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Brooklyn Hicks	G	21	0-1	0-1	1-2	5	2	0	0	1
Isaiah Cottrell	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Justin Webster	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Karl Jones	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

94.2Offensive Efficiency103.6

103.6Defensive Efficiency94.2

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

44.4%Effective FG%44.4%

48.0%True Shooting %55.3%

12.6%Turnover Rate18.8%

33.3%Free Throw Rate68.9%

44.4%3-Point Rate37.8%

2.13Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

UNLV won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.