Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%Purdue

79.7%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -393

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 74

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreMichigan 85

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricMichigan

73.2MMH Power Index80.9

124.8Offensive Efficiency122.3

107.8Defensive Efficiency97.0

17.0Net Efficiency25.3

7.6Strength of Schedule8.7

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

65.4Tempo71.8

57.8%Effective FG%58.8%

13.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

29.1%Free Throw Rate38.9%

11.1Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–73.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–107.8), net efficiency (25.3–17.0), strength of schedule (8.7–7.6).

Purdue COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (124.8–122.3), ball security (13.7–16.4), offensive rebounding (36.2–34.6).

Final

Purdue

84—76

Michigan

Purdue by 8 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATMichigan

32-68FG29-60

47.1%FG%48.3%

7-243PT9-21

29.2%3PT%42.9%

13-19FT9-13

68.4%FT%69.2%

41Rebounds28

17Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists12

8Turnovers10

7Steals5

—Blocks—

15Fouls22

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zach Edey	Center	38	14-18	0-0	7-11	15	2	0	35
Lance Jones	Guard	34	6-12	3-7	0-2	3	2	1	15
Braden Smith	G	39	3-14	1-5	4-4	8	11	4	11
Fletcher Loyer	G	25	3-8	1-5	2-2	1	0	0	9
Mason Gillis	Forward	25	3-9	2-5	0-0	8	3	1	8
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	4
Camden Heide	F	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2
Ethan Morton	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Caleb Furst	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dug McDaniel	G	38	7-20	2-7	3-3	3	6	2	19
Nimari Burnett	G	28	5-9	2-4	0-0	3	0	1	12
Terrance Williams II	F	35	4-9	0-2	3-5	5	3	0	11
Will Tschetter	F	24	4-6	1-1	1-1	2	1	2	10
Tray Jackson	Not Available	22	4-8	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	10
Jace Howard	G	22	3-5	1-3	1-2	2	1	0	8
George Washington III	G	10	1-1	1-1	1-2	0	0	0	4
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	2
Youssef Khayat	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

124.3Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency124.3

11.8Net Efficiency-11.8

52.2%Effective FG%55.8%

54.5%True Shooting %57.4%

11.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

27.9%Free Throw Rate21.7%

35.3%3-Point Rate35.0%

2.25Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Purdue won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.