Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Baylor

64.5%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -182

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 76

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreTCU 81

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricTCU

58.9MMH Power Index59.7

116.7Offensive Efficiency110.2

109.5Defensive Efficiency102.7

7.2Net Efficiency7.5

4.0Strength of Schedule4.6

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

69.7Tempo70.2

54.4%Effective FG%50.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.3%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

5.1Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–58.9), defensive efficiency (102.7–109.5), net efficiency (7.5–7.2), strength of schedule (4.6–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–110.2), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.5), offensive rebounding (37.5–33.6).

Final

Baylor

62—54

TCU

Baylor by 8 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATTCU

20-53FG17-51

37.7%FG%33.3%

9-223PT5-19

40.9%3PT%26.3%

13-17FT15-18

76.5%FT%83.3%

41Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists12

15Turnovers14

9Steals7

2Blocks6

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	39	4-13	3-8	5-6	4	1	2	0	16
Yves Missi	Center	21	6-9	0-0	4-4	5	2	0	1	16
Jalen Bridges	Forward	39	5-10	4-6	1-3	8	0	4	0	15
RayJ Dennis	Guard	37	4-10	1-4	0-0	9	9	1	0	9
Jayden Nunn	Guard	35	1-6	1-3	2-2	1	2	1	1	5
Josh Ojianwuna	F	19	0-5	0-1	1-2	4	1	1	0	1
Miro Little	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Caleb Lohner	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jameer Nelson Jr.	Guard	29	3-8	1-3	4-4	2	4	1	1	11
Emanuel Miller	Forward	34	2-6	1-1	5-6	5	1	0	0	10
Micah Peavy	Not Available	27	3-7	2-4	1-2	4	1	0	0	9
Xavier Cork	Forward	14	4-4	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	0	9
JaKobe Coles	Forward	23	3-7	0-1	2-3	2	1	0	2	8
Avery Anderson III	Guard	28	2-6	1-3	2-2	2	3	2	0	7
Trevian Tennyson	Guard	22	0-8	0-5	0-0	3	1	2	0	0
Essam Mostafa	Forward	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	2	0
Chuck O'Bannon Jr.	Forward	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

95.5Offensive Efficiency83.2

83.2Defensive Efficiency95.5

12.3Net Efficiency-12.3

46.2%Effective FG%38.2%

50.8%True Shooting %45.3%

23.8%Turnover Rate21.0%

32.1%Free Throw Rate35.3%

41.5%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Baylor won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.