Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.8%Kentucky

16.2%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL160.9

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -517

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 85

Projected Total160.9

Projected ScoreMississippi State 76

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricMississippi State

63.9MMH Power Index44.6

115.2Offensive Efficiency107.4

106.3Defensive Efficiency113.2

8.9Net Efficiency-5.8

8.7Strength of Schedule5.0

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

69.9Tempo72.3

53.2%Effective FG%51.6%

15.4%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

38.0%Free Throw Rate30.9%

6.2Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.2–107.4), defensive efficiency (106.3–113.2), net efficiency (8.9–-5.8).

Final

Kentucky

91—89

Mississippi State

Kentucky by 2 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATMississippi State

33-60FG33-64

55.0%FG%51.6%

10-303PT11-25

33.3%3PT%44.0%

15-17FT12-17

88.2%FT%70.6%

27Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists16

10Turnovers15

9Steals6

7Blocks—

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reed Sheppard	Guard	35	11-14	4-7	6-6	5	7	2	2	32
Antonio Reeves	Guard	37	8-15	2-7	3-3	2	2	1	0	21
Adou Thiero	Forward	26	5-9	1-4	0-0	3	0	2	0	11
DJ Wagner	G	28	3-5	2-4	2-2	1	4	1	0	10
Rob Dillingham	Guard	16	2-7	1-4	4-4	2	2	1	0	9
Aaron Bradshaw	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	2	4
Zvonimir Ivisic	F	21	1-5	0-3	0-0	4	0	1	3	2
Justin Edwards	Forward	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Ugonna Onyenso	C	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	35	11-24	7-14	5-6	3	1	1	34
Tolu Smith	Forward	35	9-13	0-0	3-6	10	1	1	21
Shakeel Moore	Guard	28	4-8	0-3	2-2	1	1	0	10
Cameron Matthews	Forward	27	3-4	0-0	1-1	7	6	3	7
KeShawn Murphy	F	15	2-6	1-3	1-1	6	3	0	6
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	14	2-3	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	6
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	25	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	3
Dashawn Davis	Guard	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	2
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	5	0-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

124.5Offensive Efficiency121.8

121.8Defensive Efficiency124.5

2.7Net Efficiency-2.7

63.3%Effective FG%60.2%

66.8%True Shooting %61.7%

13.9%Turnover Rate20.2%

28.3%Free Throw Rate26.6%

50.0%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.