Davidson

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Davidson

78.2%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL141.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -359

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDavidson 67

Projected Total141.7

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

DavidsonMetricDayton

53MMH Power Index59.9

109.9Offensive Efficiency108.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

6.2Net Efficiency7.0

0.1Strength of Schedule5.7

-0.6Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

65.5Tempo68.3

53.7%Effective FG%52.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.9%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

32.9%Free Throw Rate47.6%

4.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–53.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–103.7), net efficiency (7.0–6.2), strength of schedule (5.7–0.1).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.9–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0), ball security (15.6–16.9).

Final

Davidson

66—80

Dayton

Dayton by 14 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DavidsonTEAM STATDayton

22-58FG29-54

37.9%FG%53.7%

8-273PT12-28

29.6%3PT%42.9%

14-16FT10-12

87.5%FT%83.3%

27Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists17

7Turnovers14

8Steals7

3Blocks6

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Kochera	Guard	29	5-12	2-6	6-8	5	3	4	0	18
Reed Bailey	F	27	5-13	0-4	2-2	2	2	2	1	12
Bobby Durkin	F	22	3-7	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Achile Spadone	Guard	13	2-4	2-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Angelo Brizzi	G	21	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Riccardo Ghedini	Guard	15	1-2	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	1	5
Grant Huffman	Guard	33	0-7	0-3	4-4	7	3	0	0	4
Rikus Schulte	F	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Sean Logan	F	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Hunter Adam	G	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Jarvis Moss	Guard	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Mike Loughnane	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Koby Brea	Guard	27	6-10	5-9	0-0	3	1	0	1	17
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	31	5-6	1-2	4-4	3	3	4	0	15
DaRon Holmes II	Center	30	5-9	0-1	4-5	10	3	1	2	14
Kobe Elvis	Guard	27	4-8	3-6	0-0	1	5	0	0	11
Nate Santos	Forward	33	4-11	1-6	1-1	8	2	0	1	10
Javon Bennett	G	29	4-5	2-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	10
CJ Napier	Forward	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Petras Padegimas	F	7	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	1
Isaac Jack	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	0
Atticus Schuler	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Makai Grant	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brady Uhl	Guard	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

98.2Offensive Efficiency119.0

119.0Defensive Efficiency98.2

-20.8Net Efficiency20.8

44.8%Effective FG%64.8%

50.3%True Shooting %67.0%

10.5%Turnover Rate20.7%

27.6%Free Throw Rate22.2%

46.6%3-Point Rate51.9%

2.14Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Dayton won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.