Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.7%Utah State

17.3%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -478

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreFresno State 71

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricFresno State

65.7MMH Power Index47.1

119.7Offensive Efficiency104.9

103.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

16.6Net Efficiency0.0

3.5Strength of Schedule1.5

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

68.6Tempo69.4

56.9%Effective FG%51.3%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate35.5%

11.4Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–47.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–104.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–104.9), net efficiency (16.6–0.0).

Final

Utah State

77—73

Fresno State

Utah State by 4 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATFresno State

26-50FG28-66

52.0%FG%42.0%

6-153PT7-28

40.0%3PT%25.0%

19-29FT10-12

66.0%FT%83.0%

39Rebounds29

9Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists9

17Turnovers9

4Steals8

2Blocks—

15Fouls25

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Great Osobor	Forward	41	8-12	0-0	5-10	11	2	3	0	21
Darius Brown II	Guard	44	5-7	2-2	3-4	11	6	0	1	15
Josh Uduje	Guard	42	5-12	2-7	3-4	2	1	1	0	15
Mason Falslev	G	34	5-7	0-1	5-7	3	1	0	0	15
Ian Martinez	Guard	35	1-5	1-2	3-4	3	0	0	0	6
Isaac Johnson	C	10	2-5	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Javon Jackson	G	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Kalifa Sakho	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Hill	Guard	41	7-19	3-12	4-5	1	3	2	21
Xavier DuSell	Guard	44	6-11	2-7	2-2	1	0	0	16
Isaiah Pope	Guard	42	7-17	1-5	0-0	6	2	1	15
Leo Colimerio	Forward	39	5-6	1-1	4-4	8	3	2	15
Jalen Weaver	Guard	40	2-9	0-3	0-0	6	1	1	4
Isaac Taveras	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-1	3	0	2	2
Chase Courtney	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

107.2Offensive Efficiency101.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency107.2

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

58.0%Effective FG%47.7%

60.4%True Shooting %50.9%

23.7%Turnover Rate12.6%

58.0%Free Throw Rate18.2%

30.0%3-Point Rate42.4%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Utah State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.