Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Auburn

72.7%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee -266

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 75

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreTennessee 83

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricTennessee

64.4MMH Power Index68.6

118.8Offensive Efficiency115.8

113.0Defensive Efficiency102.1

5.8Net Efficiency13.7

7.5Strength of Schedule7.8

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

69.8Tempo68.1

53.1%Effective FG%51.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

43.8%Free Throw Rate38.6%

4.1Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.6–64.4), defensive efficiency (102.1–113.0), net efficiency (13.7–5.8), strength of schedule (7.8–7.5).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.8–115.8), recent form (8.0–3.3), shooting efficiency (53.1–51.6).

Final

Auburn

84—92

Tennessee

Tennessee by 8 • 77.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATTennessee

27-59FG28-55

45.8%FG%50.9%

9-223PT9-17

40.9%3PT%52.9%

21-28FT27-35

75.0%FT%77.1%

30Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds10

20Assists13

16Turnovers15

11Steals6

3Blocks5

25Fouls21

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	33	9-16	2-5	3-7	9	5	2	1	23
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	31	3-10	2-4	5-6	1	3	3	0	13
Jaylin Williams	Forward	21	4-9	1-4	3-3	3	4	1	0	12
Denver Jones	Guard	25	3-4	1-2	4-4	3	0	1	0	11
K.D. Johnson	Guard	16	2-5	1-2	5-5	0	1	1	0	10
Aden Holloway	G	21	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	5
Chaney Johnson	Forward	20	2-4	0-0	1-3	6	0	0	2	5
Lior Berman	Guard	9	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Tre Donaldson	G	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
Dylan Cardwell	Center	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Knecht	Guard	33	12-21	5-8	10-12	2	0	3	0	39
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	38	3-9	3-3	8-12	4	9	1	0	17
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	28	6-10	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	1	14
Tobe Awaka	F	23	3-3	0-0	3-5	5	0	0	0	9
Jordan Gainey	Guard	21	1-6	1-4	4-4	3	1	0	0	7
Josiah-Jordan James	Guard	28	1-3	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	4	2
Santiago Vescovi	Guard	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	2	0	2
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
J.P. Estrella	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.9Possessions77.9

107.8Offensive Efficiency118.1

118.1Defensive Efficiency107.8

-10.3Net Efficiency10.3

53.4%Effective FG%59.1%

58.1%True Shooting %64.2%

20.2%Turnover Rate19.6%

47.5%Free Throw Rate63.6%

37.3%3-Point Rate30.9%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 77.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.