Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%Providence

57.4%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarquette -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMarquette -135

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreMarquette 84

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricMarquette

54.2MMH Power Index52.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency106.0

113.2Defensive Efficiency106.9

1.8Net Efficiency-0.9

4.0Strength of Schedule4.2

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

74.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%50.5%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

37.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.3Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (115.0–106.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–50.5).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–113.2), strength of schedule (4.2–4.0), recent form (3.5–-1.3).

Final

Providence

69—91

Marquette

Marquette by 22 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATMarquette

23-56FG33-58

41.1%FG%56.9%

12-263PT14-26

46.2%3PT%53.8%

11-16FT11-15

68.8%FT%73.3%

28Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists19

15Turnovers13

7Steals10

5Blocks4

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	35	5-13	4-9	4-5	5	5	2	0	18
Ticket Gaines	Guard	33	5-8	3-5	2-3	5	3	1	2	15
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	30	4-8	2-2	3-4	1	1	0	0	13
Josh Oduro	Forward	32	6-14	0-1	0-2	6	2	1	1	12
Jayden Pierre	G	30	2-7	2-4	2-2	2	3	1	0	8
Rich Barron	F	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Garwey Dual	G	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Rafael Castro	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Donovan Santoro	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Jones	Guard	32	7-13	1-4	2-2	1	2	1	0	17
David Joplin	Forward	25	4-9	2-5	3-4	3	1	1	0	13
Chase Ross	G	23	4-7	3-4	1-2	3	0	2	0	12
Stevie Mitchell	Guard	22	5-6	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	12
Tyler Kolek	Guard	18	3-4	1-2	5-5	2	6	1	0	12
Oso Ighodaro	Center	20	4-8	0-0	0-0	7	3	0	1	8
Tre Norman	G	19	3-4	2-3	0-0	2	2	2	0	8
Ben Gold	F	25	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	3	2	3	6
Jonah Lucas	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Zaide Lowery	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Jack Riley	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Al Amadou	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Casey O'Malley	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Cameron Brown	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

101.6Offensive Efficiency134.0

134.0Defensive Efficiency101.6

-32.4Net Efficiency32.4

51.8%Effective FG%69.0%

54.2%True Shooting %69.9%

22.2%Turnover Rate19.1%

28.6%Free Throw Rate25.9%

46.4%3-Point Rate44.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.46

Game Summary

Marquette won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.