Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.6%Louisville

89.4%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -13.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -843

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 70

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricDuke

67.1MMH Power Index81.7

118.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

16.4Net Efficiency27.0

6.0Strength of Schedule7.8

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

71.0Tempo66.8

56.9%Effective FG%56.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

34.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

11.7Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–67.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.6), defensive efficiency (95.2–102.2), net efficiency (27.0–16.4).

Final

Louisville

59—84

Duke

Duke by 25 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATDuke

23-56FG32-57

41.1%FG%56.1%

3-173PT11-22

17.6%3PT%50.0%

10-19FT9-16

52.6%FT%56.3%

24Rebounds43

8Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists23

9Turnovers14

7Steals8

1Blocks2

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre White	G	35	7-11	1-3	0-2	3	1	0	0	15
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	34	4-10	0-0	3-6	10	0	1	1	11
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	32	5-13	1-5	0-1	0	4	3	0	11
Skyy Clark	G	33	4-11	1-4	1-4	1	4	0	0	10
Mike James	G	31	2-4	0-1	4-4	6	1	1	0	8
Kaleb Glenn	F	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	2	0	2
Emmanuel Okorafor	F	6	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Roach	Guard	35	8-11	3-4	0-0	6	1	3	0	19
Mark Mitchell	G	29	7-10	1-1	2-5	7	2	3	1	17
Jared McCain	Guard	32	4-9	4-7	2-2	4	3	1	0	14
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	29	4-8	0-0	1-2	10	6	0	1	9
Sean Stewart	F	11	3-3	0-0	3-4	9	2	0	0	9
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	33	3-7	1-5	1-2	3	7	1	0	8
TJ Power	F	15	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Spencer Hubbard	Guard	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ryan Young	Center	11	1-3	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	2
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

89.7Offensive Efficiency127.7

127.7Defensive Efficiency89.7

-38.0Net Efficiency38.0

43.8%Effective FG%65.8%

45.4%True Shooting %65.0%

13.6%Turnover Rate21.3%

33.9%Free Throw Rate28.1%

30.4%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Duke won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.