Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.2%Minnesota

96.8%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -22.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -3025

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 62

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreIllinois 84

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricIllinois

50.5MMH Power Index76.5

109.1Offensive Efficiency125.0

107.7Defensive Efficiency103.3

1.4Net Efficiency21.7

3.2Strength of Schedule6.7

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

63.6Tempo66.5

54.1%Effective FG%54.8%

16.5%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

36.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

0.9Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–50.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–109.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.7), net efficiency (21.7–1.4).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.9–33.8).

Final

Minnesota

97—105

Illinois

Illinois by 8 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATIllinois

36-60FG38-62

60.0%FG%61.3%

14-203PT10-22

70.0%3PT%45.5%

11-16FT19-25

68.8%FT%76.0%

23Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists14

5Turnovers4

1Steals2

1Blocks1

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	38	12-23	2-4	3-5	2	1	0	1	29
Cam Christie	Guard	36	6-12	6-9	5-6	4	0	0	0	23
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	31	6-8	4-4	1-1	1	0	1	0	17
Pharrel Payne	F	31	7-10	0-0	1-2	9	1	0	0	15
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	40	4-6	1-2	1-2	3	12	0	0	10
Isaiah Ihnen	F	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Braeden Carrington	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Parker Fox	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	38	9-17	4-8	7-9	6	1	1	0	29
Marcus Domask	Forward	39	8-12	1-2	5-5	7	5	0	0	22
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	31	7-13	2-6	4-6	2	3	0	0	20
Dain Dainja	Forward	19	4-5	0-0	3-3	6	1	0	1	11
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	25	4-6	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	10
Justin Harmon	Guard	18	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Ty Rodgers	G	23	2-2	0-0	0-2	4	3	0	0	4
Luke Goode	Forward	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Amani Hansberry	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Niccolo Moretti	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

147.4Offensive Efficiency159.6

159.6Defensive Efficiency147.4

-12.2Net Efficiency12.2

71.7%Effective FG%69.4%

71.7%True Shooting %71.1%

7.6%Turnover Rate6.1%

26.7%Free Throw Rate40.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate35.5%

2.80Assist / Turnover3.50

Game Summary

Illinois won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.