Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Air Force

99.0%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -36.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -9900

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 56

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreUtah State 92

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricUtah State

23MMH Power Index65.7

91.3Offensive Efficiency119.7

118.5Defensive Efficiency103.1

-27.2Net Efficiency16.6

6.2Strength of Schedule3.5

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

67.4Tempo68.6

49.0%Effective FG%56.9%

21.9%Turnover Rate15.1%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

35.9%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-18.3Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–23.0), offensive efficiency (119.7–91.3), defensive efficiency (103.1–118.5), net efficiency (16.6–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–3.5).

Final

Air Force

60—72

Utah State

Utah State by 12 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATUtah State

25-53FG25-47

47.2%FG%53.2%

6-213PT3-14

28.6%3PT%21.4%

4-5FT19-25

80.0%FT%76.0%

22Rebounds33

3Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists10

13Turnovers13

6Steals11

—Blocks4

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ethan Taylor	Guard	40	5-11	3-7	2-2	4	2	0	15
Rytis Petraitis	F	40	7-19	0-4	0-0	5	5	1	14
Beau Becker	Forward	34	4-9	2-6	2-2	4	0	1	12
Byron Brown	Guard	39	5-6	1-1	0-1	5	4	3	11
Kellan Boylan	F	34	3-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	6
Wesley Celichowski	C	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2
Luke Kearney	F	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Martinez	Guard	29	7-10	2-5	5-5	6	1	3	0	21
Josh Uduje	Guard	30	4-8	0-2	3-4	4	0	1	0	11
Darius Brown II	Guard	38	3-6	1-3	3-4	4	3	3	0	10
Mason Falslev	G	33	4-9	0-2	2-2	6	5	2	0	10
Javon Jackson	G	30	4-6	0-2	1-1	1	1	2	0	9
Great Osobor	Forward	28	2-6	0-0	2-3	3	0	0	4	6
Kalifa Sakho	F	9	1-1	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	0	4
Isaac Johnson	C	3	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

92.0Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.4Defensive Efficiency92.0

-18.4Net Efficiency18.4

52.8%Effective FG%56.4%

54.2%True Shooting %61.1%

19.9%Turnover Rate20.0%

9.4%Free Throw Rate53.2%

39.6%3-Point Rate29.8%

1.15Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Utah State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.