Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.2%Tennessee

64.8%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL165.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -184

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 81

Projected Total165.6

Projected ScoreAlabama 85

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricAlabama

68.6MMH Power Index69.5

115.8Offensive Efficiency121.6

102.1Defensive Efficiency111.2

13.7Net Efficiency10.4

7.8Strength of Schedule9.4

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

68.1Tempo74.7

51.6%Effective FG%54.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate13.0%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

38.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

9.3Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–68.6), offensive efficiency (121.6–115.8), strength of schedule (9.4–7.8), recent form (9.5–3.3).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.1–111.2), net efficiency (13.7–10.4), offensive rebounding (44.5–32.1).

Final

Tennessee

81—74

Alabama

Tennessee by 7 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATAlabama

24-66FG23-60

36.4%FG%38.3%

12-403PT9-37

30.0%3PT%24.3%

21-29FT19-25

72.4%FT%76.0%

42Rebounds44

12Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists16

6Turnovers12

7Steals4

4Blocks2

22Fouls24

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	38	5-18	4-14	4-6	2	4	1	1	18
Dalton Knecht	Guard	28	5-14	1-7	2-4	5	1	0	0	13
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	23	3-6	0-0	6-9	7	0	1	2	12
Josiah-Jordan James	Guard	33	3-7	3-6	2-2	13	3	1	0	11
Jordan Gainey	Guard	14	2-9	0-6	5-6	2	0	0	0	9
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	27	3-4	2-2	0-0	6	4	1	1	8
Santiago Vescovi	Guard	26	3-7	2-5	0-0	3	2	3	0	8
Tobe Awaka	F	8	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
J.P. Estrella	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	39	6-13	2-8	8-9	2	6	1	0	22
Aaron Estrada	Guard	35	6-16	2-8	2-2	8	4	0	0	16
Nick Pringle	F	25	4-4	0-0	5-7	9	1	1	1	13
Davin Cosby Jr.	G	10	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Rylan Griffen	G	29	2-11	1-8	0-0	5	1	1	1	5
Sam Walters	F	11	1-3	0-1	3-3	1	0	0	0	5
Jarin Stevenson	F	25	1-5	1-4	0-2	4	0	0	0	3
Grant Nelson	Forward	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
Mo Dioubate	F	7	0-1	0-1	1-2	7	0	1	0	1
Mohamed Wague	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

110.4Offensive Efficiency100.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency110.4

9.5Net Efficiency-9.5

45.5%Effective FG%45.8%

50.8%True Shooting %51.5%

8.1%Turnover Rate16.5%

43.9%Free Throw Rate41.7%

60.6%3-Point Rate61.7%

2.33Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.