Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.0%Iowa State

17.0%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -488

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 83

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreUCF 73

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricUCF

75.9MMH Power Index57.1

119.3Offensive Efficiency113.3

96.0Defensive Efficiency110.0

23.3Net Efficiency3.3

4.9Strength of Schedule6.6

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

68.4Tempo71.2

56.1%Effective FG%53.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate31.1%

15.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–57.1), offensive efficiency (119.3–113.3), defensive efficiency (96.0–110.0), net efficiency (23.3–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–4.9).

Final

Iowa State

60—52

UCF

Iowa State by 8 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATUCF

21-46FG20-47

45.7%FG%42.6%

5-213PT1-19

23.8%3PT%5.3%

13-19FT11-18

68.4%FT%61.1%

26Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists5

17Turnovers22

9Steals10

1Blocks—

18Fouls23

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre King	Forward	27	7-11	1-4	1-2	6	0	1	0	16
Curtis Jones	Guard	31	2-9	2-7	5-6	6	2	0	0	11
Milan Momcilovic	F	30	5-11	1-5	0-2	1	4	0	0	11
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	29	2-5	1-3	6-7	6	5	2	0	11
Tamin Lipsey	G	28	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	3	2	0	2
Hason Ward	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	1	2
Demarion Watson	G	13	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Jackson Paveletzke	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	30	6-13	0-5	1-1	0	0	1	13
Shemarri Allen	Guard	29	4-5	0-0	3-6	2	1	2	11
Darius Johnson	Guard	32	3-12	0-7	4-5	2	2	4	10
C.J. Walker	Forward	25	3-5	1-1	0-1	4	0	1	7
Thierno Sylla	C	12	2-3	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	6
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	19	1-1	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	2
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	2
Omar Payne	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1
Marchelus Avery	Forward	15	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	1	0	0
Antwann Jones	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

90.5Offensive Efficiency78.4

78.4Defensive Efficiency90.5

12.1Net Efficiency-12.1

51.1%Effective FG%43.6%

54.5%True Shooting %46.8%

25.7%Turnover Rate33.1%

41.3%Free Throw Rate38.3%

45.7%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.94Assist / Turnover0.23

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.