Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.6%Virginia

87.4%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -13.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -694

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 68

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreDuke 81

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricDuke

68.9MMH Power Index81.7

119.0Offensive Efficiency122.2

101.8Defensive Efficiency95.2

17.2Net Efficiency27.0

5.2Strength of Schedule7.8

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

67.6Tempo66.8

55.0%Effective FG%56.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

33.2%Free Throw Rate39.0%

11.6Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–68.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–119.0), defensive efficiency (95.2–101.8), net efficiency (27.0–17.2).

Final

Virginia

48—73

Duke

Duke by 25 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATDuke

17-55FG30-61

30.9%FG%49.2%

5-173PT6-19

29.4%3PT%31.6%

9-13FT7-10

69.2%FT%70.0%

29Rebounds42

10Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists17

12Turnovers10

3Steals8

7Blocks4

9Fouls11

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reece Beekman	Guard	35	7-15	1-3	3-3	6	7	3	1	18
Isaac McKneely	G	34	3-11	2-5	4-4	2	1	0	0	12
Ryan Dunn	Forward	31	4-9	1-2	0-0	6	0	0	5	9
Jacob Groves	Forward	23	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Blake Buchanan	F	17	1-4	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0	2
Andrew Rohde	G	23	0-3	0-3	1-2	1	3	0	0	1
Dante Harris	G	11	0-3	0-1	1-2	6	0	0	0	1
Jordan Minor	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Taine Murray	Guard	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Elijah Gertrude	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Leon Bond III	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	29	9-14	1-1	2-2	7	2	3	1	21
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	29	6-8	3-4	0-0	4	5	0	0	15
Mark Mitchell	G	25	3-5	0-0	4-7	5	1	0	2	10
Jared McCain	Guard	31	3-8	0-3	1-1	6	0	2	0	7
Jeremy Roach	Guard	35	3-9	0-4	0-0	2	5	1	0	6
Sean Stewart	F	15	3-6	0-0	0-0	8	1	1	1	6
TJ Power	F	13	2-5	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Ryan Young	Center	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Spencer Hubbard	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Neal Begovich	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

75.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency75.6

-39.4Net Efficiency39.4

35.5%Effective FG%54.1%

39.2%True Shooting %55.5%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.7%

23.6%Free Throw Rate16.4%

30.9%3-Point Rate31.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Duke won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.