Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.2%Mississippi State

93.8%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -17.3

PROJECTED TOTAL165.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -1513

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 74

Projected Total165.4

Projected ScoreAuburn 91

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricAuburn

44.6MMH Power Index64.4

107.4Offensive Efficiency118.8

113.2Defensive Efficiency113.0

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

5.0Strength of Schedule7.5

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

72.3Tempo69.8

51.6%Effective FG%53.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.5%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

30.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-4.2Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–44.6), offensive efficiency (118.8–107.4), defensive efficiency (113.0–113.2), net efficiency (5.8–-5.8).

Final

Mississippi State

63—78

Auburn

Auburn by 15 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATAuburn

22-56FG28-56

39.3%FG%50.0%

7-203PT9-19

35.0%3PT%47.4%

12-20FT13-17

60.0%FT%76.5%

36Rebounds30

14Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists19

13Turnovers10

6Steals8

2Blocks9

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	36	6-15	6-11	5-6	3	3	0	0	23
Tolu Smith	Forward	34	6-15	0-0	2-4	10	2	2	0	14
Shakeel Moore	Guard	27	2-6	1-3	1-2	0	1	0	1	6
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	18	3-6	0-2	0-2	4	0	1	0	6
Dashawn Davis	Guard	23	2-5	0-2	1-2	2	2	0	0	5
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	15	1-4	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Cameron Matthews	Forward	29	1-3	0-0	1-2	10	3	2	0	3
KeShawn Murphy	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	24	7-13	1-2	2-4	6	1	0	1	17
Denver Jones	Guard	29	5-11	3-5	2-2	4	1	2	0	15
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	27	4-7	1-2	1-2	3	4	2	2	10
Jaylin Williams	Forward	22	1-3	0-1	8-8	3	3	0	2	10
Chaney Johnson	Forward	18	3-4	2-2	0-0	2	2	0	1	8
Dylan Cardwell	Center	16	3-3	0-0	0-1	5	1	1	2	6
Lior Berman	Guard	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Tre Donaldson	G	19	2-6	0-1	0-0	0	6	0	0	4
K.D. Johnson	Guard	8	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Aden Holloway	G	21	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Chris Moore	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

96.5Offensive Efficiency119.4

119.4Defensive Efficiency96.5

-23.0Net Efficiency23.0

45.5%Effective FG%58.0%

48.1%True Shooting %60.9%

20.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

35.7%Free Throw Rate30.4%

35.7%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Auburn won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.