Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.6%Illinois

30.4%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -229

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 82

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreWisconsin 77

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricWisconsin

76.5MMH Power Index64.5

125.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

103.3Defensive Efficiency108.8

21.7Net Efficiency9.8

6.7Strength of Schedule6.7

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

66.5Tempo69.9

54.8%Effective FG%54.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate12.8%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

33.8%Free Throw Rate32.5%

14.5Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.8), net efficiency (21.7–9.8).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHball security (12.8–13.1).

Final

Illinois

91—83

Wisconsin

Illinois by 8 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATWisconsin

29-56FG30-60

51.8%FG%50.0%

9-163PT6-16

56.3%3PT%37.5%

24-30FT17-23

80.0%FT%73.9%

31Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists10

8Turnovers8

3Steals4

4Blocks2

18Fouls24

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Domask	Forward	35	12-21	4-6	3-4	8	3	0	1	31
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	38	6-13	3-6	8-9	5	2	2	0	23
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	37	4-9	1-1	4-4	7	1	0	2	13
Justin Harmon	Guard	23	3-5	0-1	4-4	2	1	0	1	10
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	27	2-3	1-2	2-4	4	2	1	0	7
Dain Dainja	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Ty Rodgers	G	20	1-3	0-0	1-3	0	0	0	0	3
Luke Goode	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Niccolo Moretti	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Wahl	Forward	39	9-14	1-1	1-3	7	2	1	1	20
Max Klesmit	Guard	38	5-9	1-3	5-6	5	3	0	0	16
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	37	5-9	2-4	3-5	2	3	3	0	15
AJ Storr	G	29	4-12	0-1	5-6	3	1	0	0	13
John Blackwell	G	24	3-8	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Steve Crowl	Forward	14	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Markus Ilver	Forward	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Carter Gilmore	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	3
Nolan Winter	F	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Connor Essegian	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

130.7Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency130.7

11.5Net Efficiency-11.5

59.8%Effective FG%55.0%

64.8%True Shooting %58.5%

11.4%Turnover Rate11.6%

53.6%Free Throw Rate38.3%

28.6%3-Point Rate26.7%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Illinois won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.