Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Arkansas

47.7%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL168.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -110

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 84

Projected Total168.1

Projected ScoreKentucky 84

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricKentucky

69.3MMH Power Index63.9

122.2Offensive Efficiency115.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency106.3

12.4Net Efficiency8.9

8.6Strength of Schedule8.7

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

73.8Tempo69.9

56.4%Effective FG%53.2%

12.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.5%Free Throw Rate38.0%

9.2Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–63.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.2), net efficiency (12.4–8.9), recent form (3.4–-1.0).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.3–109.8), strength of schedule (8.7–8.6), offensive rebounding (33.2–31.8).

Final

Arkansas

102—111

Kentucky

Kentucky by 9 • 86.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATKentucky

34-64FG34-60

53.1%FG%56.7%

7-173PT9-20

41.2%3PT%45.0%

27-28FT34-42

96.4%FT%81.0%

27Rebounds34

4Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists19

12Turnovers15

10Steals7

1Blocks3

26Fouls18

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khalif Battle	Guard	39	8-16	1-4	17-18	8	1	2	0	34
Tramon Mark	G	34	10-20	3-6	0-0	4	3	4	0	23
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	25	4-6	3-5	3-3	5	1	0	0	14
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	16	4-6	0-0	5-5	2	2	0	0	13
Trevon Brazile	F	15	4-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	8
Davonte Davis	Guard	26	1-4	0-1	2-2	2	2	3	0	4
El Ellis	Guard	20	2-5	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	4
Chandler Lawson	Forward	25	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Antonio Reeves	Guard	29	8-10	1-2	5-6	4	1	1	0	22
DJ Wagner	G	26	6-7	4-5	3-4	1	0	0	0	19
Rob Dillingham	Guard	24	5-13	0-3	5-5	2	5	1	0	15
Aaron Bradshaw	F	12	4-4	1-1	6-8	5	1	0	0	15
Zvonimir Ivisic	F	20	3-4	0-0	6-7	9	1	1	2	12
Reed Sheppard	Guard	34	3-7	2-4	2-2	1	5	0	0	10
Justin Edwards	Forward	13	3-4	1-1	3-4	1	1	3	0	10
Adou Thiero	Forward	18	2-4	0-1	1-2	2	3	0	1	5
Tre Mitchell	Center	16	0-5	0-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	2
Ugonna Onyenso	C	8	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

86.2Possessions86.2

118.3Offensive Efficiency128.8

128.8Defensive Efficiency118.3

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

58.6%Effective FG%64.2%

66.0%True Shooting %69.4%

14.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

43.8%Free Throw Rate70.0%

26.6%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 86.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.