Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%Gonzaga

46.9%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -113

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 74

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 73

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricSaint Mary's

76.4MMH Power Index70.7

119.7Offensive Efficiency116.7

94.0Defensive Efficiency97.4

25.7Net Efficiency19.3

3.0Strength of Schedule3.0

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

70.4Tempo66.3

55.7%Effective FG%53.1%

13.6%Turnover Rate16.6%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

31.5%Free Throw Rate36.8%

18.1Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–70.7), offensive efficiency (119.7–116.7), defensive efficiency (94.0–97.4), net efficiency (25.7–19.3).

Saint Mary's COUNTERS WITHrecent form (18.6–18.2), offensive rebounding (37.4–35.0), free throw rate (36.8–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

70—57

Saint Mary's

Gonzaga by 13 • 59.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATSaint Mary's

30-58FG22-59

51.7%FG%37.3%

5-93PT8-18

55.6%3PT%44.4%

5-6FT5-9

83.3%FT%55.6%

27Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds17

19Assists14

5Turnovers13

9Steals4

5Blocks1

12Fouls9

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	35	11-20	0-0	2-2	10	0	0	2	24
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	9-15	2-4	0-0	3	10	2	0	20
Ben Gregg	Forward	26	4-5	1-2	3-4	5	1	2	1	12
Braden Huff	F	5	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	5
Nolan Hickman	Guard	40	2-7	0-0	0-0	1	7	0	0	4
Dusty Stromer	G	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Anton Watson	Forward	39	1-6	0-0	0-0	2	1	3	1	2

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	36	6-19	3-7	1-1	4	1	1	0	16
Mitchell Saxen	Center	38	5-10	0-0	3-4	5	2	1	0	13
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	38	4-6	1-1	1-2	6	5	2	0	10
Alex Ducas	Guard	38	3-9	3-6	0-0	7	4	0	0	9
Luke Barrett	Forward	17	2-6	1-3	0-1	3	2	0	0	5
Mason Forbes	Forward	27	2-7	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	1	4
Chris Howell	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordan Ross	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.1Possessions59.1

118.4Offensive Efficiency96.4

96.4Defensive Efficiency118.4

22.0Net Efficiency-22.0

56.0%Effective FG%44.1%

57.5%True Shooting %45.0%

8.5%Turnover Rate21.9%

10.3%Free Throw Rate15.3%

15.5%3-Point Rate30.5%

3.80Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 59.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.