Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.8%Louisville

38.2%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -162

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 80

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreIndiana 77

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricIndiana

67.1MMH Power Index58.2

118.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

102.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

16.4Net Efficiency8.9

6.0Strength of Schedule5.2

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

71.0Tempo67.4

56.9%Effective FG%56.0%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.1%Free Throw Rate35.8%

11.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–58.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–116.0), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.1), net efficiency (16.4–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHball security (15.1–16.8), free throw rate (35.8–34.1).

Final

Louisville

89—61

Indiana

Louisville by 28 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATIndiana

37-65FG21-63

57.0%FG%33.0%

10-273PT7-20

37.0%3PT%35.0%

5-7FT12-17

71.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds22

23Assists12

15Turnovers23

15Steals8

1Blocks3

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Waterman	Forward	29	6-12	4-8	0-0	3	1	1	0	16
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	29	7-10	2-4	0-0	1	10	7	0	16
Kasean Pryor	F	27	7-13	0-3	0-0	7	0	2	0	14
Reyne Smith	Guard	23	4-9	4-9	0-0	3	0	1	0	12
J'Vonne Hadley	G	29	4-5	0-0	0-1	8	3	0	0	8
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	24	3-6	0-3	2-2	1	7	0	0	8
James Scott	F	15	4-4	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	1	8
Khani Rooths	F	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Patrick Antonelli	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	3-4	0	0	1	0	3
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cole Sherman	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Legg	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Reneau	F	33	7-12	2-3	5-6	7	4	2	1	21
Oumar Ballo	Center	31	5-8	0-0	1-3	6	2	1	1	11
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	29	2-7	2-4	2-2	6	2	0	0	8
Luke Goode	Forward	17	2-6	1-5	2-2	1	1	0	1	7
Anthony Leal	Guard	4	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Bryson Tucker	F	18	2-9	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Myles Rice	G	25	1-11	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Langdon Hatton	Center	3	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Trey Galloway	Guard	20	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kanaan Carlyle	G	14	0-2	0-2	0-2	1	1	1	0	0
Gabe Cupps	G	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

123.3Offensive Efficiency84.5

84.5Defensive Efficiency123.3

38.8Net Efficiency-38.8

64.6%Effective FG%38.9%

65.1%True Shooting %42.9%

20.7%Turnover Rate31.9%

10.8%Free Throw Rate27.0%

41.5%3-Point Rate31.7%

1.53Assist / Turnover0.52

Game Summary

Louisville won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.