Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

87.0%Duke

13.0%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -669

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreNC State 72

Team Comparison

DukeMetricNC State

81.7MMH Power Index60.1

122.2Offensive Efficiency118.4

95.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

27.0Net Efficiency9.8

7.8Strength of Schedule6.4

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

66.8Tempo70.2

56.9%Effective FG%55.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.0%Free Throw Rate35.7%

18.0Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–108.6), net efficiency (27.0–9.8).

NC State COUNTERS WITHball security (13.1–15.9).

Final

Duke

79—64

NC State

Duke by 15 • 59.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATNC State

32-68FG27-56

47.1%FG%48.2%

9-303PT3-9

30.0%3PT%33.3%

6-9FT7-14

66.7%FT%50.0%

36Rebounds31

19Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists12

5Turnovers10

6Steals4

4Blocks5

14Fouls7

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Roach	Guard	36	9-17	1-7	2-3	4	3	1	0	21
Jared McCain	Guard	34	6-14	3-9	1-1	5	2	1	0	16
Sean Stewart	F	26	5-7	0-0	2-3	5	1	2	3	12
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	40	4-10	3-8	0-0	4	3	1	0	11
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	22	4-6	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	9
Mark Mitchell	G	19	2-7	0-1	1-2	6	0	0	1	5
TJ Power	F	10	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Ryan Young	Center	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Burns	Forward	31	12-19	0-0	3-5	5	4	0	1	27
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	37	4-8	1-2	1-2	7	0	1	3	10
Casey Morsell	Guard	36	4-10	0-2	1-2	4	1	0	0	9
DJ Horne	Guard	35	4-8	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Michael O'Connell	Guard	25	1-3	1-1	0-0	4	2	2	0	3
Breon Pass	Guard	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jayden Taylor	Guard	14	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	8	1-1	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	1	2
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	3	0-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Ernest Ross	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.0Possessions59.0

133.9Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency133.9

25.4Net Efficiency-25.4

53.7%Effective FG%50.9%

54.7%True Shooting %51.1%

8.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

13.2%Free Throw Rate25.0%

44.1%3-Point Rate16.1%

2.40Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Duke won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 59.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.