Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Purdue

70.6%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -240

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 74

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreIllinois 81

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricIllinois

73.2MMH Power Index76.5

124.8Offensive Efficiency125.0

107.8Defensive Efficiency103.3

17.0Net Efficiency21.7

7.6Strength of Schedule6.7

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

65.4Tempo66.5

57.8%Effective FG%54.8%

13.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

29.1%Free Throw Rate33.8%

11.1Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–73.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–124.8), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.8), net efficiency (21.7–17.0).

Purdue COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–6.7), shooting efficiency (57.8–54.8).

Final

Purdue

77—71

Illinois

Purdue by 6 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATIllinois

29-60FG25-55

48.3%FG%45.5%

9-163PT4-16

56.3%3PT%25.0%

10-14FT17-21

71.4%FT%81.0%

31Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds11

20Assists9

8Turnovers12

5Steals7

2Blocks1

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Edey	Center	36	13-23	0-0	2-4	8	3	1	2	28
Fletcher Loyer	G	34	6-12	2-3	2-2	3	5	0	0	16
Braden Smith	G	38	5-10	3-4	0-0	4	6	2	0	13
Mason Gillis	Forward	26	2-3	2-3	4-5	6	4	0	0	10
Lance Jones	Guard	31	2-9	2-6	1-2	3	2	1	0	7
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	15	1-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Camden Heide	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Ethan Morton	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Caleb Furst	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Domask	Forward	36	8-16	0-2	4-4	4	4	1	0	20
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	33	5-10	0-1	3-3	9	1	3	0	13
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	24	3-5	3-4	3-6	2	0	1	0	12
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	32	3-13	0-4	5-5	2	1	0	0	11
Ty Rodgers	G	18	3-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	8
Dain Dainja	Forward	7	2-2	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	0	4
Luke Goode	Forward	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Justin Harmon	Guard	21	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	1	0
Niccolo Moretti	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Amani Hansberry	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

117.7Offensive Efficiency108.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency117.7

9.2Net Efficiency-9.2

55.8%Effective FG%49.1%

57.8%True Shooting %54.6%

12.4%Turnover Rate18.2%

23.3%Free Throw Rate38.2%

26.7%3-Point Rate29.1%

2.50Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Purdue won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.