Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Auburn

42.7%Missouri

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -134

Missouri

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 81

Projected Total162.2

Projected ScoreMissouri 81

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricMissouri

64.4MMH Power Index57.2

118.8Offensive Efficiency115.1

113.0Defensive Efficiency109.7

5.8Net Efficiency5.4

7.5Strength of Schedule5.0

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

69.8Tempo68.8

53.1%Effective FG%55.2%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.8%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

43.8%Free Throw Rate43.1%

4.1Average Margin3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–57.2), offensive efficiency (118.8–115.1), net efficiency (5.8–5.4), strength of schedule (7.5–5.0).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.7–113.0), shooting efficiency (55.2–53.1).

Final

Auburn

101—74

Missouri

Auburn by 27 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATMissouri

34-65FG19-56

52.3%FG%33.9%

8-233PT5-15

34.8%3PT%33.3%

25-29FT31-35

86.2%FT%88.6%

41Rebounds28

14Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists7

11Turnovers11

4Steals7

8Blocks6

25Fouls24

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	23	7-14	0-2	3-5	8	2	0	3	17
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	28	4-9	3-5	4-4	7	0	1	1	15
Jaylin Williams	Forward	25	5-7	0-1	5-5	2	0	0	2	15
Dylan Cardwell	Center	17	5-5	1-1	1-2	6	0	0	1	12
Denver Jones	Guard	22	3-5	0-2	4-4	1	4	1	0	10
Aden Holloway	G	21	3-5	1-3	2-2	2	5	1	0	9
Tre Donaldson	G	19	3-9	3-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	9
Chaney Johnson	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	5-6	6	0	0	1	7
Chris Moore	Forward	13	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
K.D. Johnson	Guard	15	1-6	0-3	1-1	0	2	0	0	3
Blake Muschalek	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean East II	Guard	37	4-17	1-2	12-13	3	3	2	0	21
Tamar Bates	Guard	21	4-8	2-3	2-2	4	2	0	1	12
Nick Honor	Guard	31	2-7	2-5	5-6	0	0	1	0	11
Aidan Shaw	F	29	2-3	0-0	3-4	9	0	1	2	7
Noah Carter	Forward	20	2-6	0-3	2-2	2	0	0	2	6
Anthony Robinson II	G	17	1-3	0-1	4-4	0	0	0	1	6
Jesus Carralero Martin	Forward	19	1-3	0-0	3-4	4	2	2	0	5
Jordan Butler	F	9	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Mabor Majak	Center	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Curt Lewis	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Trent Pierce	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jackson Francois	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

135.2Offensive Efficiency99.1

99.1Defensive Efficiency135.2

36.1Net Efficiency-36.1

58.5%Effective FG%38.4%

64.1%True Shooting %50.9%

14.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

44.6%Free Throw Rate62.5%

35.4%3-Point Rate26.8%

1.45Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Auburn won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.