Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.2%Alabama State

95.8%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -20.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -2281

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 63

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreCincinnati 83

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricCincinnati

38MMH Power Index61.5

101.7Offensive Efficiency105.3

107.4Defensive Efficiency97.3

-5.7Net Efficiency8.0

-6.2Strength of Schedule5.1

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

71.9Tempo69.4

48.2%Effective FG%50.6%

18.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

35.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-4.1Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–38.0), offensive efficiency (105.3–101.7), defensive efficiency (97.3–107.4), net efficiency (8.0–-5.7).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (32.6–30.6), free throw rate (35.8–30.7).

Final

Alabama State

59—77

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 18 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATCincinnati

20-66FG31-69

30.0%FG%45.0%

7-303PT10-31

23.0%3PT%32.0%

12-14FT5-12

86.0%FT%42.0%

35Rebounds52

9Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists16

7Turnovers10

8Steals6

3Blocks5

11Fouls10

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amarr Knox	G	36	9-20	2-7	4-5	5	2	4	0	24
Jalen Keago	G	16	3-6	3-5	3-3	1	0	0	0	12
TJ Madlock	Guard	31	1-11	0-1	4-4	3	5	2	1	6
Tyler Mack	G	21	2-5	1-4	0-0	5	1	1	0	5
Micah Simpson	G	22	1-8	1-6	1-2	2	1	0	0	4
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	17	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Ubong Okon	C	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
JaSteven Walker	F	16	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
D'Ante Bass	Forward	14	1-6	0-4	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Mario Andrews	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Simas Lukosius	Guard	27	6-15	4-10	0-0	4	4	0	0	16
Jizzle James	G	22	5-9	2-5	1-2	8	5	2	0	13
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	21	5-8	0-0	0-0	9	3	0	1	10
Dillon Mitchell	F	18	5-7	0-1	0-5	8	2	1	0	10
Day Day Thomas	G	13	3-6	3-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
Arrinten Page	F	17	3-4	0-0	1-1	2	0	2	2	7
Josh Reed	F	17	2-4	0-1	2-2	6	0	0	0	6
Tyler Betsey	F	22	2-5	1-4	0-0	4	1	0	1	5
Halvine Dzellat	C	2	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1	1
Connor Hickman	G	24	0-6	0-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Rayvon Griffith	F	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

84.0Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency84.0

-25.6Net Efficiency25.6

35.6%Effective FG%52.2%

40.6%True Shooting %51.5%

9.9%Turnover Rate14.3%

21.2%Free Throw Rate17.4%

45.5%3-Point Rate44.9%

1.71Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.