San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%San Diego State

42.5%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -135

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreUNLV 77

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricUNLV

60.1MMH Power Index52.8

110.3Offensive Efficiency111.0

99.3Defensive Efficiency109.6

11.0Net Efficiency1.4

3.8Strength of Schedule2.7

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

70.8Tempo71.4

53.2%Effective FG%53.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.6%

7.8Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.6), net efficiency (11.0–1.4), strength of schedule (3.8–2.7).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–110.3), recent form (1.1–0.4), shooting efficiency (53.7–53.2).

Final

San Diego State

58—62

UNLV

UNLV by 4 • 59.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATUNLV

18-64FG20-50

28.1%FG%40.0%

11-333PT8-18

33.3%3PT%44.4%

11-15FT14-21

73.3%FT%66.7%

36Rebounds42

20Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists11

8Turnovers14

10Steals7

4Blocks10

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Saunders	F	27	5-10	4-9	0-0	6	0	1	2	14
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	34	2-12	0-2	8-12	7	0	0	0	12
Micah Parrish	Guard	30	4-12	3-9	0-0	5	2	1	0	11
Lamont Butler	Guard	27	4-10	2-3	0-0	2	4	4	0	10
Darrion Trammell	Guard	32	1-8	0-4	3-3	2	7	4	0	5
Miles Byrd	G	17	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Reese Waters	Guard	14	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jay Pal	Forward	13	0-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	0
Miles Heide	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	37	6-15	2-4	5-9	3	3	0	0	19
Keylan Boone	Forward	40	6-14	4-11	0-0	11	4	2	4	16
Luis Rodriguez	Guard	30	2-8	1-2	3-4	8	2	1	0	8
Kalib Boone	Forward	30	1-4	0-0	4-5	6	1	3	3	6
Karl Jones	Forward	10	2-2	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	2	5
Rob Whaley Jr.	F	37	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	4
Justin Webster	Guard	8	1-3	1-1	1-1	0	0	1	0	4
Jackie Johnson III	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Shane Nowell	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brooklyn Hicks	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.6Possessions59.6

97.3Offensive Efficiency104.0

104.0Defensive Efficiency97.3

-6.7Net Efficiency6.7

36.7%Effective FG%48.0%

40.8%True Shooting %51.7%

13.5%Turnover Rate23.3%

23.4%Free Throw Rate42.0%

51.6%3-Point Rate36.0%

1.75Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

UNLV won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 59.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.