Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Dayton

78.0%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -355

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 71

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 82

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricSaint Louis

59.9MMH Power Index66.7

108.5Offensive Efficiency120.8

101.5Defensive Efficiency97.6

7.0Net Efficiency23.2

5.7Strength of Schedule0.3

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

68.3Tempo72.2

52.0%Effective FG%59.9%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

47.6%Free Throw Rate33.9%

4.8Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (120.8–108.5), defensive efficiency (97.6–101.5), net efficiency (23.2–7.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–0.3), recent form (6.4–0.1), ball security (16.9–17.1).

Final

Dayton

100—83

Saint Louis

Dayton by 17 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATSaint Louis

36-65FG31-61

55.4%FG%50.8%

18-333PT6-23

54.5%3PT%26.1%

10-14FT15-16

71.4%FT%93.8%

38Rebounds21

13Offensive Rebounds5

20Assists13

12Turnovers7

6Steals8

2Blocks3

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	31	9-16	2-4	5-6	13	5	1	1	25
Koby Brea	Guard	34	7-10	5-8	2-2	5	2	1	0	21
Kobe Elvis	Guard	27	7-12	5-8	2-2	3	5	0	0	21
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	34	6-10	2-3	1-4	10	5	1	1	15
Nate Santos	Forward	36	4-8	2-4	0-0	5	2	2	0	10
Petras Padegimas	F	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Brady Uhl	Guard	14	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Isaac Jack	F	5	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
CJ Napier	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Atticus Schuler	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	40	8-13	4-8	4-4	1	5	2	0	24
Terrence Hargrove Jr.	Forward	37	7-11	0-3	3-3	5	0	2	1	17
Bradley Ezewiro	Forward	27	6-10	0-1	3-3	3	1	0	1	15
Larry Hughes II	G	33	4-14	2-7	2-2	4	5	3	0	12
Kellen Thames	G	29	4-8	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	10
Cian Medley	G	21	1-3	0-2	1-2	1	2	0	0	3
Bruce Zhang	Center	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Stef van Bussel	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

141.4Offensive Efficiency117.4

117.4Defensive Efficiency141.4

24.0Net Efficiency-24.0

69.2%Effective FG%55.7%

69.8%True Shooting %60.5%

17.0%Turnover Rate9.9%

21.5%Free Throw Rate26.2%

50.8%3-Point Rate37.7%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Dayton won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.