BYU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.6%BYU

86.4%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -635

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBYU 72

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreIowa State 84

Team Comparison

BYUMetricIowa State

63.9MMH Power Index75.9

118.3Offensive Efficiency119.3

106.8Defensive Efficiency96.0

11.5Net Efficiency23.3

6.5Strength of Schedule4.9

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

70.6Tempo68.4

54.7%Effective FG%56.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.0%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

35.4%Free Throw Rate35.2%

8.1Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–63.9), offensive efficiency (119.3–118.3), defensive efficiency (96.0–106.8), net efficiency (23.3–11.5).

BYU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.5–4.9), free throw rate (35.4–35.2).

Final

BYU

63—68

Iowa State

Iowa State by 5 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BYUTEAM STATIowa State

22-56FG25-68

39.3%FG%36.8%

8-293PT6-18

27.6%3PT%33.3%

11-16FT12-18

68.8%FT%66.7%

45Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists11

17Turnovers6

5Steals10

8Blocks4

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

BYU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Richie Saunders	G	26	7-12	3-6	3-3	3	0	0	0	20
Jaxson Robinson	Guard	25	4-8	1-4	2-2	1	1	1	0	11
Dallin Hall	G	34	2-9	1-5	2-4	4	3	1	0	7
Spencer Johnson	Guard	23	3-7	0-3	1-2	11	1	1	0	7
Trevin Knell	Guard	28	1-5	1-4	3-4	3	1	1	0	6
Fousseyni Traore	Center	17	3-6	0-0	0-1	11	1	0	3	6
Aly Khalifa	C	23	1-6	1-6	0-0	5	6	0	2	3
Noah Waterman	Forward	18	1-3	1-1	0-0	4	0	1	3	3
Trey Stewart	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamin Lipsey	G	34	7-16	3-5	2-3	6	1	5	0	19
Curtis Jones	Guard	32	7-13	3-7	1-1	2	0	0	1	18
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	29	1-9	0-1	6-8	5	5	3	0	8
Milan Momcilovic	F	27	3-8	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Tre King	Forward	24	3-9	0-1	0-0	6	2	0	0	6
Hason Ward	Forward	17	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	1	4
Demarion Watson	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Jackson Paveletzke	G	4	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

92.5Offensive Efficiency99.9

99.9Defensive Efficiency92.5

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

46.4%Effective FG%41.2%

49.5%True Shooting %44.4%

25.5%Turnover Rate8.6%

28.6%Free Throw Rate26.5%

51.8%3-Point Rate26.5%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.