Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%Boise State

64.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -178

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 79

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricSan Diego State

59.5MMH Power Index60.1

113.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency99.3

6.8Net Efficiency11.0

4.2Strength of Schedule3.8

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

68.6Tempo70.8

52.7%Effective FG%53.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

42.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.7Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–110.3), strength of schedule (4.2–3.8), recent form (5.2–0.4), ball security (17.0–17.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (60.1–59.5), defensive efficiency (99.3–107.1), net efficiency (11.0–6.8).

Final

Boise State

79—77

San Diego State

Boise State by 2 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATSan Diego State

28-64FG30-67

44.0%FG%45.0%

11-273PT6-25

41.0%3PT%24.0%

12-19FT11-17

63.0%FT%65.0%

37Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists16

11Turnovers11

5Steals5

2Blocks4

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Roddie Anderson	G	41	7-17	2-7	0-0	6	3	2	0	16
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	38	4-9	3-5	3-5	11	1	0	0	14
Max Rice	Guard	34	3-7	2-6	2-2	1	2	0	0	10
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	29	4-7	1-1	1-4	1	2	2	1	10
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	29	4-13	2-6	0-0	5	0	1	0	10
Cam Martin	Forward	22	3-4	0-1	4-6	4	2	0	0	10
Jace Whiting	G	12	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	0	6
Andrew Meadow	F	19	1-4	1-1	0-0	6	1	0	1	3
Kobe Young	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	40	9-15	0-0	3-7	6	1	0	1	21
Lamont Butler	Guard	34	5-10	0-3	3-4	6	2	1	0	13
Micah Parrish	Guard	25	5-14	2-8	0-0	1	2	0	0	12
Darrion Trammell	Guard	35	4-9	1-4	2-2	3	5	2	0	11
Elijah Saunders	F	18	3-5	3-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Jay Pal	Forward	27	1-2	0-0	2-2	6	2	1	3	4
Reese Waters	Guard	24	1-6	0-3	1-2	6	2	0	0	3
Miles Byrd	G	17	1-5	0-3	0-0	5	2	1	0	2
Miles Heide	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

108.8Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency108.8

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

52.3%Effective FG%49.3%

54.1%True Shooting %51.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.7%Free Throw Rate25.4%

42.2%3-Point Rate37.3%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Boise State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.