VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.4%VCU

46.6%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -115

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 75

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

VCUMetricDayton

65.7MMH Power Index59.9

116.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

103.3Defensive Efficiency101.5

13.1Net Efficiency7.0

5.4Strength of Schedule5.7

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

69.5Tempo68.3

53.7%Effective FG%52.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

42.9%Free Throw Rate47.6%

9.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–108.5), net efficiency (13.1–7.0), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–103.3), strength of schedule (5.7–5.4), recent form (6.4–6.0).

Final

VCU

86—91

Dayton

Dayton by 5 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATDayton

32-71FG30-56

45.0%FG%54.0%

18-423PT12-22

43.0%3PT%55.0%

4-6FT19-25

67.0%FT%76.0%

31Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists19

11Turnovers14

6Steals4

5Blocks2

21Fouls12

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zeb Jackson	Guard	38	10-22	6-14	0-0	5	3	0	0	26
Max Shulga	Guard	39	5-11	4-9	0-0	6	5	0	0	14
Sean Bairstow	Guard	41	5-11	3-6	0-0	1	3	3	0	13
Joe Bamisile	Guard	22	5-11	2-8	1-2	2	1	0	0	13
Kuany Kuany	Forward	20	2-3	2-2	2-2	2	0	1	1	8
Jason Nelson	G	14	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	5
Christian Fermin	F	19	1-3	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	2	3
Tobi Lawal	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Michael Belle	F	13	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	2	2
Alphonzo Billups III	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	41	6-12	0-0	11-14	10	3	0	1	23
Nate Santos	Forward	41	7-12	4-6	3-4	8	2	1	0	21
Koby Brea	Guard	44	7-11	4-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	18
Kobe Elvis	Guard	42	5-10	3-6	2-2	4	6	3	0	15
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	43	5-10	1-3	3-5	9	6	0	1	14
Petras Padegimas	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isaac Jack	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brady Uhl	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency119.1

119.1Defensive Efficiency112.6

-6.5Net Efficiency6.5

57.7%Effective FG%64.3%

58.2%True Shooting %67.0%

14.5%Turnover Rate18.2%

8.5%Free Throw Rate44.6%

59.2%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Dayton won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.