UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.1%UConn

21.9%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -357

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 83

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreProvidence 75

Team Comparison

UConnMetricProvidence

70.2MMH Power Index54.2

116.3Offensive Efficiency115.0

98.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

17.9Net Efficiency1.8

6.3Strength of Schedule4.0

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

66.2Tempo74.2

55.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate37.3%

11.8Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–54.2), offensive efficiency (116.3–115.0), defensive efficiency (98.4–113.2), net efficiency (17.9–1.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.3–30.7).

Final

UConn

74—60

Providence

UConn by 14 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATProvidence

29-68FG20-57

42.6%FG%35.1%

11-273PT8-27

40.7%3PT%29.6%

5-6FT12-16

83.3%FT%75.0%

40Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists7

7Turnovers15

9Steals4

4Blocks4

14Fouls11

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Karaban	F	33	6-14	4-6	0-0	3	0	2	0	16
Stephon Castle	Guard	29	6-12	2-4	0-0	6	3	4	0	14
Tristen Newton	Guard	37	3-12	2-8	4-4	8	5	0	0	12
Donovan Clingan	Center	27	5-5	1-1	0-0	7	2	0	2	11
Cam Spencer	Guard	32	4-13	1-6	1-2	3	5	1	0	10
Samson Johnson	Center	12	4-7	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	2	8
Hassan Diarra	Guard	19	1-4	1-1	0-0	2	4	1	0	3
Jaylin Stewart	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Youssouf Singar	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayden Ross	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Apostolos Roumoglou	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Solo Ball	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andrew Hurley	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	38	9-19	2-7	4-6	15	4	2	2	24
Josh Oduro	Forward	31	5-16	1-4	2-2	11	2	0	0	13
Jayden Pierre	G	30	3-10	2-5	1-2	3	0	0	1	9
Ticket Gaines	Guard	38	1-5	1-5	3-4	0	0	1	0	6
Rich Barron	F	25	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	28	0-2	0-2	2-2	4	1	0	1	2
Rafael Castro	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Donovan Santoro	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

110.0Offensive Efficiency89.2

89.2Defensive Efficiency110.0

20.8Net Efficiency-20.8

50.7%Effective FG%42.1%

52.2%True Shooting %46.4%

10.6%Turnover Rate21.9%

8.8%Free Throw Rate28.1%

39.7%3-Point Rate47.4%

2.71Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

UConn won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.