Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Kentucky

73.7%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee -280

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 73

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreTennessee 81

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricTennessee

63.9MMH Power Index68.6

115.2Offensive Efficiency115.8

106.3Defensive Efficiency102.1

8.9Net Efficiency13.7

8.7Strength of Schedule7.8

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

69.9Tempo68.1

53.2%Effective FG%51.6%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

38.0%Free Throw Rate38.6%

6.2Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.6–63.9), offensive efficiency (115.8–115.2), defensive efficiency (102.1–106.3), net efficiency (13.7–8.9).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.7–7.8), shooting efficiency (53.2–51.6), ball security (15.4–17.3).

Final

Kentucky

85—81

Tennessee

Kentucky by 4 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATTennessee

27-59FG28-74

45.8%FG%37.8%

15-293PT12-36

51.7%3PT%33.3%

16-18FT13-19

88.9%FT%68.4%

42Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists17

16Turnovers7

5Steals9

9Blocks5

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Antonio Reeves	Guard	38	8-16	3-5	8-9	7	0	1	1	27
Reed Sheppard	Guard	33	9-14	7-10	2-2	6	5	1	1	27
Justin Edwards	Forward	37	6-10	4-7	0-0	6	3	0	0	16
Rob Dillingham	Guard	17	3-8	1-2	4-5	3	3	0	0	11
DJ Wagner	G	13	1-6	0-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
Ugonna Onyenso	C	29	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	4	0
Adou Thiero	Forward	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	2	0
Zvonimir Ivisic	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Tre Mitchell	Center	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Aaron Bradshaw	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Knecht	Guard	36	14-29	6-15	6-9	4	1	1	0	40
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	29	6-15	4-11	1-2	2	9	1	0	17
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	36	4-11	0-0	3-3	8	0	1	5	11
Josiah-Jordan James	Guard	34	2-9	2-6	2-2	10	2	2	0	8
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	22	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	0	2
Jordan Gainey	Guard	11	1-2	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	0	2
Tobe Awaka	F	11	0-0	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	1
Santiago Vescovi	Guard	20	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	4	1	0	0
Freddie Dilione V	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

115.2Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency115.2

5.4Net Efficiency-5.4

58.5%Effective FG%45.9%

62.9%True Shooting %48.8%

22.1%Turnover Rate9.3%

30.5%Free Throw Rate25.7%

49.2%3-Point Rate48.6%

0.75Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.