Arizona logo

Arizona

36-3
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
95.3%Arizona
4.7%USC
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADArizona -18.3
PROJECTED TOTAL159.5
MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -2028
USC logo

USC

18-14
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreArizona 89
Projected Total159.5
Projected ScoreUSC 71

Team Comparison

79.9MMH Power Index48.3
120.3Offensive Efficiency108.5
96.9Defensive Efficiency107.6
23.4Net Efficiency0.9
8.0Strength of Schedule2.5
17.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0
71.6Tempo72.4
55.0%Effective FG%50.7%
15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%
37.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%
45.3%Free Throw Rate45.3%
16.8Average Margin0.7
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.3%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
10–0
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–48.3), offensive efficiency (120.3–108.5), defensive efficiency (96.9–107.6), net efficiency (23.4–0.9).
Final
Arizona logo
Arizona
65—78
USC logo
USC
USC by 13 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArizonaTEAM STATUSC
24-62FG28-57
38.7%FG%49.1%
6-213PT6-18
28.6%3PT%33.3%
11-16FT16-18
68.8%FT%88.9%
38Rebounds30
14Offensive Rebounds4
18Assists16
18Turnovers11
3Steals15
2Blocks5
18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Arizona
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Keshad JohnsonForward336-104-51-235100017
Oumar BalloCenter286-70-05-8101120017
Jaden BradleyG193-90-02-25200008
Motiejus KrivasC103-50-01-14000007
Kylan BoswellG272-91-30-03310005
Pelle LarssonGuard232-61-50-13400005
KJ LewisG211-40-12-22100004
Caleb LoveGuard321-100-60-02200002
Paulius MurauskasF20-00-00-00000000
Filip BorovicaninF20-10-00-01000000
Conrad MartinezG20-10-10-00000000
Grant WeitmanGuard10-00-00-00000000
USC
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Kobe JohnsonGuard346-91-36-734600019
DJ RodmanForward337-82-33-471110019
Isaiah CollierGuard295-131-35-545100016
Joshua MorganForward133-50-00-02111006
Boogie EllisGuard301-81-52-22330005
Bronny JamesGuard202-31-20-06121005
Vince IwuchukwuC172-50-00-02011004
Kijani WrightF101-30-00-01000002
Oziyah SellersG81-20-10-00100002
Harrison HorneryForward40-00-00-00000000
JD PloughGuard10-00-00-00000000
Zach BrookerGuard10-10-10-00001000

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1
88.9Offensive Efficiency106.7
106.7Defensive Efficiency88.9
-17.8Net Efficiency17.8
43.5%Effective FG%54.4%
46.7%True Shooting %59.5%
24.5%Turnover Rate15.2%
25.8%Free Throw Rate31.6%
33.9%3-Point Rate31.6%
1.00Assist / Turnover1.45
Game Summary
USC won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.