Creighton

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.4%Creighton

81.6%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -443

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCreighton 70

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreVillanova 81

Team Comparison

CreightonMetricVillanova

50.6MMH Power Index59.4

109.0Offensive Efficiency114.7

109.5Defensive Efficiency105.9

-0.5Net Efficiency8.8

5.1Strength of Schedule4.4

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

68.9Tempo67.3

53.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

29.0%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-0.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–50.6), offensive efficiency (114.7–109.0), defensive efficiency (105.9–109.5), net efficiency (8.8–-0.5).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.4).

Final

Creighton

69—67

Villanova

Creighton by 2 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CreightonTEAM STATVillanova

27-60FG27-58

45.0%FG%46.6%

13-373PT9-20

35.1%3PT%45.0%

2-3FT4-4

66.7%FT%100.0%

34Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds2

18Assists14

10Turnovers8

6Steals7

3Blocks3

6Fouls12

Player Box Score

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Baylor Scheierman	Forward	34	7-12	4-9	0-0	8	6	2	0	18
Trey Alexander	Guard	40	7-19	3-10	0-0	6	2	2	0	17
Ryan Kalkbrenner	Center	39	6-10	0-2	2-3	5	1	0	2	14
Mason Miller	F	22	3-5	3-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Steven Ashworth	Guard	38	3-11	2-9	0-0	7	8	2	0	8
Francisco Farabello	Guard	21	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jasen Green	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Fredrick King	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	33	9-17	4-7	3-3	3	2	2	1	25
Justin Moore	Guard	31	7-12	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	17
TJ Bamba	Guard	26	4-9	1-2	0-0	4	3	2	1	9
Mark Armstrong	Guard	23	4-5	0-0	1-1	5	1	1	1	9
Jordan Longino	Guard	22	2-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Tyler Burton	Forward	23	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	0	2
Hakim Hart	Guard	18	0-4	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	0	0
Brendan Hausen	G	17	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Lance Ware	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

105.0Offensive Efficiency102.0

102.0Defensive Efficiency105.0

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

55.8%Effective FG%54.3%

56.2%True Shooting %55.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate12.1%

5.0%Free Throw Rate6.9%

61.7%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Creighton won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.