Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.0%Arkansas

63.0%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL180.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -170

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 88

Projected Total180.1

Projected ScoreAlabama 92

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricAlabama

69.3MMH Power Index69.5

122.2Offensive Efficiency121.6

109.8Defensive Efficiency111.2

12.4Net Efficiency10.4

8.6Strength of Schedule9.4

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

73.8Tempo74.7

56.4%Effective FG%54.9%

12.2%Turnover Rate13.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

36.5%Free Throw Rate36.9%

9.2Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (122.2–121.6), defensive efficiency (109.8–111.2), net efficiency (12.4–10.4), shooting efficiency (56.4–54.9).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (69.5–69.3), strength of schedule (9.4–8.6), recent form (9.5–3.4).

Final

Arkansas

88—92

Alabama

Alabama by 4 • 85.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATAlabama

30-67FG33-75

45.0%FG%44.0%

4-203PT9-30

20.0%3PT%30.0%

24-27FT17-25

89.0%FT%68.0%

39Rebounds44

9Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists19

16Turnovers11

6Steals9

9Blocks8

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khalif Battle	Guard	38	5-16	1-6	11-11	7	1	1	1	22
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	26	7-9	0-0	4-6	5	1	0	4	18
Tramon Mark	G	30	3-10	1-4	6-6	3	1	1	0	13
Trevon Brazile	F	30	6-12	0-3	0-0	6	0	1	2	12
El Ellis	Guard	40	5-11	0-1	1-2	4	3	1	0	11
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	16	3-4	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Davonte Davis	Guard	30	0-3	0-3	2-2	3	2	1	0	2
Chandler Lawson	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	2	2

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	42	7-16	3-7	5-7	1	6	1	0	22
Latrell Wrightsell	G	39	8-12	4-8	0-0	3	2	2	0	20
Grant Nelson	Forward	31	6-11	1-4	1-2	13	1	2	3	14
Aaron Estrada	Guard	40	4-14	0-5	2-2	4	7	2	0	10
Nick Pringle	F	35	2-6	0-0	6-10	10	3	2	2	10
Sam Walters	F	14	4-8	1-4	1-2	2	0	0	0	10
Jarin Stevenson	F	12	1-4	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	1	4
Mo Dioubate	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Mohamed Wague	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Davin Cosby Jr.	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

85.4Possessions85.4

103.0Offensive Efficiency107.7

107.7Defensive Efficiency103.0

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

47.8%Effective FG%50.0%

55.1%True Shooting %52.9%

18.4%Turnover Rate13.1%

40.3%Free Throw Rate33.3%

29.9%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

Alabama won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 85.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.