New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%New Mexico

67.5%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -208

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 75

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricUtah State

63.7MMH Power Index65.7

114.8Offensive Efficiency119.7

100.2Defensive Efficiency103.1

14.6Net Efficiency16.6

2.0Strength of Schedule3.5

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

70.7Tempo68.6

53.7%Effective FG%56.9%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

36.5%Free Throw Rate39.1%

10.3Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–63.7), offensive efficiency (119.7–114.8), net efficiency (16.6–14.6), strength of schedule (3.5–2.0).

New Mexico COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–103.1), recent form (8.3–0.3), ball security (14.8–15.1).

Final

New Mexico

85—87

Utah State

Utah State by 2 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATUtah State

34-65FG30-56

52.3%FG%53.6%

6-153PT6-20

40.0%3PT%30.0%

11-18FT21-28

61.1%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists16

12Turnovers12

8Steals9

2Blocks4

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	32	6-8	3-5	3-4	5	2	1	0	18
Donovan Dent	G	33	8-16	0-0	1-2	3	5	1	1	17
Jaelen House	Guard	32	4-11	1-3	6-7	9	6	3	0	15
JT Toppin	F	20	7-11	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	14
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	28	6-9	0-0	1-3	10	0	0	1	13
Jemarl Baker Jr.	Guard	27	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Tru Washington	G	21	1-5	0-2	0-2	2	1	0	0	2
Quinton Webb	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Martinez	Guard	40	7-11	3-6	5-6	1	2	2	0	22
Great Osobor	Forward	39	8-17	0-1	5-9	12	3	3	3	21
Darius Brown II	Guard	39	5-9	2-6	7-9	6	9	3	1	19
Mason Falslev	G	21	5-5	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	10
Josh Uduje	Guard	26	2-5	1-3	2-2	0	0	1	0	7
Kalifa Sakho	F	17	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Isaac Johnson	C	8	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Javon Jackson	G	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

115.8Offensive Efficiency118.5

118.5Defensive Efficiency115.8

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

56.9%Effective FG%58.9%

57.8%True Shooting %62.8%

16.5%Turnover Rate16.2%

27.7%Free Throw Rate50.0%

23.1%3-Point Rate35.7%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Utah State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.