Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.3%Illinois

29.7%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -237

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 76

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreIowa 71

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricIowa

76.5MMH Power Index64.2

125.0Offensive Efficiency118.4

103.3Defensive Efficiency105.2

21.7Net Efficiency13.2

6.7Strength of Schedule5.3

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

66.5Tempo63.0

54.8%Effective FG%56.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.1%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

33.8%Free Throw Rate36.2%

14.5Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.4), defensive efficiency (103.3–105.2), net efficiency (21.7–13.2).

Iowa COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.6–54.8), free throw rate (36.2–33.8).

Final

Illinois

73—61

Iowa

Illinois by 12 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATIowa

28-63FG23-65

44.4%FG%35.4%

5-163PT7-21

31.3%3PT%33.3%

12-20FT8-13

60.0%FT%61.5%

50Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds3

9Assists15

12Turnovers5

2Steals5

5Blocks7

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	35	10-19	3-8	2-3	3	2	0	2	25
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	31	5-10	2-3	2-4	13	0	0	0	14
Marcus Domask	Forward	36	4-14	0-2	3-4	4	3	1	0	11
Dain Dainja	Forward	15	3-5	0-0	3-5	5	0	0	2	9
Ty Rodgers	G	26	3-5	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	0	7
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	25	2-6	0-1	0-0	10	3	0	1	4
Niccolo Moretti	G	7	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Justin Harmon	Guard	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Luke Goode	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Payton Sandfort	Forward	33	9-19	5-13	0-0	7	0	1	0	23
Josh Dix	G	38	6-13	0-3	1-2	4	2	0	1	13
Owen Freeman	F	28	3-7	0-0	2-3	8	1	0	5	8
Brock Harding	G	14	2-7	1-1	1-2	1	6	2	0	6
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	24	1-4	1-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	5
Tony Perkins	Guard	27	1-10	0-0	0-2	4	4	1	0	2
Ben Krikke	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	1	2
Ladji Dembele	F	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Pryce Sandfort	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

98.8Offensive Efficiency82.5

82.5Defensive Efficiency98.8

16.2Net Efficiency-16.2

48.4%Effective FG%40.8%

50.3%True Shooting %42.9%

16.1%Turnover Rate6.8%

31.7%Free Throw Rate20.0%

25.4%3-Point Rate32.3%

0.75Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Illinois won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.