Santa Clara

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Santa Clara

76.0%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -317

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSanta Clara 71

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 79

Team Comparison

Santa ClaraMetricSaint Mary's

64.9MMH Power Index70.7

118.7Offensive Efficiency116.7

104.4Defensive Efficiency97.4

14.3Net Efficiency19.3

4.0Strength of Schedule3.0

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

69.8Tempo66.3

54.8%Effective FG%53.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

35.9%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

25.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

10.0Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–64.9), defensive efficiency (97.4–104.4), net efficiency (19.3–14.3), recent form (18.6–4.1).

Santa Clara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.7–116.7), strength of schedule (4.0–3.0), shooting efficiency (54.8–53.1).

Final

Santa Clara

65—79

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 14 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Santa ClaraTEAM STATSaint Mary's

25-53FG30-56

47.2%FG%53.6%

7-143PT9-24

50.0%3PT%37.5%

8-12FT10-18

66.7%FT%55.6%

24Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists20

8Turnovers10

7Steals6

4Blocks3

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Santa Clara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carlos Marshall Jr.	Guard	31	11-20	4-6	0-0	5	2	0	0	26
Christian Hammond	G	19	5-6	1-1	2-2	1	3	1	0	13
Christoph Tilly	C	16	2-4	0-0	3-4	3	1	2	3	7
Camaron Tongue	Forward	22	1-2	1-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Jalen Benjamin	Guard	18	2-4	0-0	1-2	2	2	1	0	5
Johnny O'Neil	Forward	22	1-6	1-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	3
Adama-Alpha Bal	Guard	34	1-7	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	2
Tyeree Bryan	G	26	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Jake Ensminger	G	12	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	2

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Ducas	Guard	32	7-11	7-11	0-0	4	4	0	1	21
Mason Forbes	Forward	33	8-9	0-0	2-9	4	1	1	1	18
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	33	6-9	0-1	1-1	4	6	1	0	13
Aidan Mahaney	G	39	4-8	2-5	0-0	2	4	1	0	10
Mitchell Saxen	Center	24	4-9	0-0	1-2	8	1	2	1	9
Luke Barrett	Forward	26	0-8	0-6	6-6	8	2	1	0	6
Cade Bennett	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Chris Howell	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jordan Ross	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kevin Gad	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

104.5Offensive Efficiency127.0

127.0Defensive Efficiency104.5

-22.5Net Efficiency22.5

53.8%Effective FG%61.6%

55.4%True Shooting %61.2%

13.2%Turnover Rate15.7%

22.6%Free Throw Rate32.1%

26.4%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.63Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.