Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Florida State

77.4%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -9.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -342

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 74

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 84

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricNorth Carolina

58.7MMH Power Index65.2

111.9Offensive Efficiency115.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency103.8

3.4Net Efficiency11.7

5.7Strength of Schedule7.6

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

71.8Tempo69.0

52.4%Effective FG%54.6%

15.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate38.1%

2.4Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–58.7), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.9), defensive efficiency (103.8–108.5), net efficiency (11.7–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.6–-1.8).

Final

Florida State

67—92

North Carolina

North Carolina by 25 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATNorth Carolina

25-61FG34-65

41.0%FG%52.3%

4-163PT8-19

25.0%3PT%42.1%

13-18FT16-20

72.2%FT%80.0%

22Rebounds48

7Offensive Rebounds17

10Assists18

12Turnovers13

10Steals6

6Blocks3

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Primo Spears	Guard	23	8-14	1-3	0-0	0	0	2	0	17
Jamir Watkins	Guard	30	3-11	0-3	6-7	4	5	3	2	12
Jalen Warley	G	33	4-10	0-0	2-2	3	3	2	2	10
Baba Miller	F	27	2-5	1-3	2-2	4	0	1	1	7
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	28	2-10	1-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	6	1-1	1-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Cameron Corhen	F	28	1-2	0-0	1-3	2	0	1	0	3
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	8	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Chandler Jackson	G	9	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
De'Ante Green	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tom House	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	30	7-15	2-5	2-2	3	3	1	0	18
Cormac Ryan	Guard	26	5-7	3-4	1-2	2	0	0	0	14
Armando Bacot	Forward	25	5-8	0-0	4-4	10	0	0	0	14
Seth Trimble	G	18	4-7	0-0	4-4	5	2	0	0	12
Harrison Ingram	Forward	28	2-6	1-3	4-4	10	4	0	0	9
Elliot Cadeau	G	28	4-10	0-4	0-0	4	6	3	1	8
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	14	2-4	1-1	1-2	7	1	1	0	6
Zayden High	F	4	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Paxson Wojcik	Guard	9	1-2	1-2	0-2	0	2	0	0	3
Jalen Washington	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2	2
James Okonkwo	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Duwe Farris	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Rob Landry	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Creighton Lebo	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

92.3Offensive Efficiency126.7

126.7Defensive Efficiency92.3

-34.4Net Efficiency34.4

44.3%Effective FG%58.5%

48.2%True Shooting %61.7%

16.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

29.5%Free Throw Rate30.8%

26.2%3-Point Rate29.2%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.