Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Providence

52.7%Creighton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCreighton -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL164.2

MODEL MONEYLINECreighton -111

Creighton

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Projected Total164.2

Projected ScoreCreighton 83

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricCreighton

54.2MMH Power Index50.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.0

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.5

1.8Net Efficiency-0.5

4.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

74.2Tempo68.9

55.0%Effective FG%53.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

37.3%Free Throw Rate29.0%

1.3Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–50.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.5), recent form (-1.3–-5.2).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.0), ball security (16.6–16.7).

Final

Providence

78—73

Creighton

Providence by 5 • 73.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATCreighton

29-70FG22-58

41.4%FG%37.9%

6-233PT6-26

26.1%3PT%23.1%

14-14FT23-26

100.0%FT%88.5%

40Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists11

5Turnovers11

7Steals3

3Blocks5

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	40	6-16	1-6	9-9	11	4	2	1	22
Josh Oduro	Forward	30	7-20	0-2	3-3	9	3	1	1	17
Jayden Pierre	G	35	6-16	1-6	2-2	4	7	0	0	15
Rich Barron	F	33	3-6	2-4	0-0	3	2	2	1	8
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	19	3-4	2-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	8
Garwey Dual	G	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Ticket Gaines	Guard	21	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Rafael Castro	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Kalkbrenner	Center	40	7-11	0-2	5-6	12	1	2	5	19
Trey Alexander	Guard	36	7-14	2-3	3-5	2	0	0	0	19
Baylor Scheierman	Forward	40	4-16	2-10	6-6	13	3	0	0	16
Steven Ashworth	Guard	38	3-13	1-8	9-9	5	6	1	0	16
Francisco Farabello	Guard	26	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Mason Miller	F	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jasen Green	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.6Possessions73.6

106.0Offensive Efficiency99.2

99.2Defensive Efficiency106.0

6.8Net Efficiency-6.8

45.7%Effective FG%43.1%

50.9%True Shooting %51.9%

6.9%Turnover Rate14.8%

20.0%Free Throw Rate44.8%

32.9%3-Point Rate44.8%

3.40Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Providence won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.