Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%Villanova

43.0%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -133

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 77

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreMarquette 75

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricMarquette

59.4MMH Power Index52.3

114.7Offensive Efficiency106.0

105.9Defensive Efficiency106.9

8.8Net Efficiency-0.9

4.4Strength of Schedule4.2

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

67.3Tempo70.9

53.9%Effective FG%50.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

31.4%Free Throw Rate33.8%

5.9Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.3), offensive efficiency (114.7–106.0), defensive efficiency (105.9–106.9), net efficiency (8.8–-0.9).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.5–-1.1), free throw rate (33.8–31.4).

Final

Villanova

65—71

Marquette

Marquette by 6 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATMarquette

20-58FG25-63

34.0%FG%40.0%

9-353PT10-28

26.0%3PT%36.0%

16-20FT11-15

80.0%FT%73.0%

44Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists13

11Turnovers5

3Steals7

4Blocks1

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	41	6-15	2-7	5-6	11	2	0	1	19
Mark Armstrong	Guard	31	6-10	1-3	2-3	3	3	0	1	15
TJ Bamba	Guard	38	2-5	2-5	6-7	5	1	1	1	12
Hakim Hart	Guard	33	2-5	2-3	1-2	5	2	0	0	7
Tyler Burton	Forward	14	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Justin Moore	Guard	43	1-10	0-6	2-2	11	6	2	1	4
Brendan Hausen	G	18	1-9	1-8	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Lance Ware	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Arcidiacono	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Jones	Guard	41	7-15	2-5	2-2	6	4	1	0	18
Stevie Mitchell	Guard	41	6-11	0-3	3-4	5	1	3	0	15
David Joplin	Forward	35	4-14	3-8	3-4	8	1	0	0	14
Chase Ross	G	33	4-11	2-6	1-2	3	0	2	0	11
Ben Gold	F	16	2-2	2-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Oso Ighodaro	Center	42	1-5	0-0	2-3	6	4	0	0	4
Tre Norman	G	12	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	2	1	1	3
Zaide Lowery	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

95.2Offensive Efficiency104.0

104.0Defensive Efficiency95.2

-8.8Net Efficiency8.8

42.2%Effective FG%47.6%

48.1%True Shooting %50.6%

16.1%Turnover Rate7.3%

34.5%Free Throw Rate23.8%

60.3%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.36Assist / Turnover2.60

Game Summary

Marquette won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.