Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Cincinnati

55.5%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -125

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 74

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreBaylor 77

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricBaylor

61.5MMH Power Index58.9

105.3Offensive Efficiency116.7

97.3Defensive Efficiency109.5

8.0Net Efficiency7.2

5.1Strength of Schedule4.0

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

69.4Tempo69.7

50.6%Effective FG%54.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate34.8%

5.5Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–58.9), defensive efficiency (97.3–109.5), net efficiency (8.0–7.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.0).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.7–105.3), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.6), ball security (16.4–17.0).

Final

Cincinnati

56—68

Baylor

Baylor by 12 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATBaylor

22-54FG22-55

40.7%FG%40.0%

5-223PT5-19

22.7%3PT%26.3%

7-9FT19-22

77.8%FT%86.4%

27Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists11

14Turnovers15

10Steals8

5Blocks4

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	35	6-14	1-6	2-4	4	1	4	0	15
John Newman III	Forward	33	5-9	2-4	0-0	6	1	1	0	12
Jizzle James	G	24	5-10	0-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	12
Simas Lukosius	Guard	36	1-8	1-6	2-2	2	5	1	0	5
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	1-1	5	0	1	1	5
Viktor Lakhin	Center	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Day Day Thomas	G	26	1-7	1-4	0-0	2	4	1	0	3
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4	0
Josh Reed	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RayJ Dennis	Guard	38	5-13	1-4	2-2	1	6	0	0	13
Jalen Bridges	Forward	35	4-11	0-6	4-4	9	1	1	0	12
Yves Missi	Center	28	4-8	0-0	4-6	6	1	0	2	12
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	37	3-11	3-6	2-2	6	1	1	2	11
Jayden Nunn	Guard	31	3-9	1-3	2-2	4	2	5	0	9
Josh Ojianwuna	F	12	2-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	6
Caleb Lohner	Forward	16	1-1	0-0	3-4	7	0	0	0	5
Miro Little	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

85.0Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency85.0

-18.2Net Efficiency18.2

45.4%Effective FG%44.5%

48.0%True Shooting %51.9%

21.4%Turnover Rate22.6%

16.7%Free Throw Rate40.0%

40.7%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Baylor won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.