Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.0%Fresno State

93.0%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -17.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -1329

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 67

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreUtah State 84

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricUtah State

47.1MMH Power Index65.7

104.9Offensive Efficiency119.7

104.9Defensive Efficiency103.1

0.0Net Efficiency16.6

1.5Strength of Schedule3.5

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

69.4Tempo68.6

51.3%Effective FG%56.9%

18.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

35.5%Free Throw Rate39.1%

0.0Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–47.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–104.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–104.9), net efficiency (16.6–0.0).

Final

Fresno State

75—87

Utah State

Utah State by 12 • 74.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATUtah State

27-64FG27-62

42.0%FG%44.0%

10-303PT7-25

33.0%3PT%28.0%

11-14FT26-36

79.0%FT%72.0%

36Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists18

14Turnovers8

5Steals9

1Blocks2

27Fouls16

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Weaver	Guard	37	7-10	1-3	4-4	8	0	1	0	19
Isaiah Hill	Guard	43	7-17	3-9	0-0	10	7	1	0	17
Isaiah Pope	Guard	38	4-11	2-4	2-2	4	1	2	1	12
Donavan Yap	Guard	33	4-14	2-8	0-0	3	2	0	0	10
Leo Colimerio	Forward	41	3-4	0-1	3-4	4	2	1	0	9
Xavier DuSell	Guard	27	2-6	2-5	2-4	2	0	0	0	8
Enoch Boakye	Forward	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Great Osobor	Forward	44	7-8	0-0	15-24	17	4	2	1	29
Darius Brown II	Guard	45	6-17	3-7	2-2	4	11	0	0	17
Javon Jackson	G	31	6-9	2-4	2-2	5	2	3	0	16
Josh Uduje	Guard	34	3-7	0-3	2-2	6	0	2	0	8
Isaac Johnson	C	18	3-7	2-6	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
Ian Martinez	Guard	33	1-12	0-4	4-4	2	0	1	0	6
Karson Templin	F	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kalifa Sakho	F	13	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1	1
Landon Brenchley	Guard	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.9Possessions74.9

100.1Offensive Efficiency116.2

116.2Defensive Efficiency100.1

-16.0Net Efficiency16.0

50.0%Effective FG%49.2%

53.1%True Shooting %55.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate10.8%

21.9%Free Throw Rate58.1%

46.9%3-Point Rate40.3%

0.93Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Utah State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 74.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.