Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Colorado State

73.1%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -272

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 71

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreNevada 78

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricNevada

55.4MMH Power Index59.8

117.1Offensive Efficiency112.4

109.9Defensive Efficiency105.7

7.2Net Efficiency6.7

0.4Strength of Schedule3.7

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

64.7Tempo67.7

58.6%Effective FG%50.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

41.2%Free Throw Rate46.0%

4.6Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nevada HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNevada holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–55.4), defensive efficiency (105.7–109.9), strength of schedule (3.7–0.4), recent form (7.8–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–112.4), net efficiency (7.2–6.7), shooting efficiency (58.6–50.2).

Final

Colorado State

85—78

Nevada

Colorado State by 7 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATNevada

28-56FG23-48

50.0%FG%47.9%

7-203PT5-15

35.0%3PT%33.3%

22-30FT27-37

73.3%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists11

9Turnovers15

7Steals6

3Blocks5

26Fouls24

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Lake	Guard	24	5-6	3-3	3-4	3	1	1	0	16
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	39	5-11	2-5	3-4	2	7	1	0	15
Nique Clifford	Guard	32	5-8	0-2	4-6	10	5	2	3	14
Joe Palmer	Guard	21	4-7	1-4	3-4	4	1	0	0	12
Joel Scott	Forward	19	4-9	0-0	3-4	5	2	1	0	11
Rashaan Mbemba	F	15	2-4	0-0	3-4	2	1	0	0	7
Josiah Strong	Guard	23	2-7	1-5	0-0	0	0	2	0	5
Patrick Cartier	Forward	19	1-4	0-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Tavi Jackson	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarod Lucas	Guard	39	5-12	2-7	6-7	3	1	1	0	18
Tylan Pope	Forward	16	2-4	0-0	6-6	6	0	0	1	10
Nick Davidson	F	25	4-6	0-1	1-1	6	1	2	2	9
K.J. Hymes	Forward	19	2-4	0-0	4-9	3	0	0	1	8
Tre Coleman	Forward	30	2-6	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Tyler Rolison	G	15	0-3	0-2	6-7	1	2	1	0	6
Daniel Foster	Guard	25	2-4	1-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	5
Jazz Gardner	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

123.4Offensive Efficiency113.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency123.4

10.2Net Efficiency-10.2

56.3%Effective FG%53.1%

60.5%True Shooting %59.5%

13.2%Turnover Rate21.6%

53.6%Free Throw Rate77.1%

35.7%3-Point Rate31.3%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.