St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%St. John's

62.2%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -165

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 72

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreUConn 76

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricUConn

70.3MMH Power Index70.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency116.3

97.6Defensive Efficiency98.4

16.8Net Efficiency17.9

5.5Strength of Schedule6.3

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

70.9Tempo66.2

51.3%Effective FG%55.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

41.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

11.9Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–70.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–98.4), recent form (11.4–9.4), ball security (14.3–16.4).

UConn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.3–114.4), net efficiency (17.9–16.8), strength of schedule (6.3–5.5).

Final

St. John's

90—95

UConn

UConn by 5 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATUConn

32-71FG31-54

45.1%FG%57.4%

10-223PT11-22

45.5%3PT%50.0%

16-18FT22-24

88.9%FT%91.7%

34Rebounds30

17Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists23

5Turnovers10

2Steals3

3Blocks6

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniss Jenkins	Guard	34	9-22	3-7	6-6	1	5	2	1	27
Jordan Dingle	Guard	29	8-12	3-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	19
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	23	3-9	0-2	3-3	2	1	0	0	9
Zuby Ejiofor	F	14	3-4	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	8
Joel Soriano	Center	26	3-9	0-0	0-1	9	1	0	1	6
Chris Ledlum	Guard	25	2-7	2-3	0-0	8	2	0	1	6
Glenn Taylor Jr.	Forward	22	2-3	1-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	6
Brady Dunlap	F	7	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Nahiem Alleyne	Guard	19	0-2	0-1	4-4	1	1	0	0	4
Sean Conway	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tristen Newton	Guard	38	6-11	3-7	10-12	6	9	1	0	25
Cam Spencer	Guard	36	5-10	4-5	6-6	4	9	0	0	20
Alex Karaban	F	34	5-10	3-6	1-1	4	2	1	1	14
Hassan Diarra	Guard	21	3-5	1-2	3-3	0	1	0	0	10
Jaylin Stewart	F	11	4-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	8
Stephon Castle	Guard	24	2-5	0-1	2-2	6	1	0	0	6
Donovan Clingan	Center	19	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	4	6
Samson Johnson	Center	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Solo Ball	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

132.4Offensive Efficiency139.7

139.7Defensive Efficiency132.4

-7.4Net Efficiency7.4

52.1%Effective FG%67.6%

56.6%True Shooting %72.6%

7.4%Turnover Rate14.6%

25.4%Free Throw Rate44.4%

31.0%3-Point Rate40.7%

3.20Assist / Turnover2.30

Game Summary

UConn won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.