Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.0%Mississippi State

96.0%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -21.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee -2400

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 68

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreTennessee 89

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricTennessee

44.6MMH Power Index68.6

107.4Offensive Efficiency115.8

113.2Defensive Efficiency102.1

-5.8Net Efficiency13.7

5.0Strength of Schedule7.8

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

72.3Tempo68.1

51.6%Effective FG%51.6%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

30.9%Free Throw Rate38.6%

-4.2Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.6–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.8–107.4), defensive efficiency (102.1–113.2), net efficiency (13.7–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–17.3).

Final

Mississippi State

73—56

Tennessee

Mississippi State by 17 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATTennessee

26-47FG19-62

55.3%FG%30.6%

4-133PT8-33

30.8%3PT%24.2%

17-22FT10-12

77.3%FT%83.3%

31Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists12

15Turnovers14

9Steals8

2Blocks1

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	34	5-14	3-8	5-5	2	0	1	0	18
Cameron Matthews	Forward	32	7-7	0-0	4-5	8	3	2	0	18
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	37	3-5	1-2	1-2	7	1	1	0	8
Tolu Smith	Forward	23	2-3	0-0	4-6	5	1	0	0	8
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	17	3-5	0-0	2-3	0	1	0	1	8
Dashawn Davis	Guard	30	3-9	0-3	1-1	2	2	3	0	7
Shakeel Moore	Guard	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	2	0	2
KeShawn Murphy	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	38	7-17	4-12	2-2	2	2	0	0	20
Dalton Knecht	Guard	35	4-17	2-9	4-4	1	1	0	0	14
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	21	4-6	1-2	1-1	3	1	0	0	10
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	26	2-6	0-0	1-2	10	0	1	1	5
Santiago Vescovi	Guard	21	1-6	0-4	2-3	1	4	2	0	4
Jordan Gainey	Guard	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Josiah-Jordan James	Guard	30	0-5	0-3	0-0	9	4	4	0	0
Tobe Awaka	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
J.P. Estrella	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

108.0Offensive Efficiency82.8

82.8Defensive Efficiency108.0

25.1Net Efficiency-25.1

59.6%Effective FG%37.1%

63.5%True Shooting %41.4%

22.2%Turnover Rate20.7%

46.8%Free Throw Rate19.4%

27.7%3-Point Rate53.2%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.