Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.9%Oregon

98.1%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -27.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -5163

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 63

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreArizona 90

Team Comparison

OregonMetricArizona

48.9MMH Power Index79.9

106.4Offensive Efficiency120.3

110.7Defensive Efficiency96.9

-4.3Net Efficiency23.4

6.0Strength of Schedule8.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

66.7Tempo71.6

49.9%Effective FG%55.0%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

36.9%Free Throw Rate45.3%

-2.9Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–48.9), offensive efficiency (120.3–106.4), defensive efficiency (96.9–110.7), net efficiency (23.4–-4.3).

Final

Oregon

67—59

Arizona

Oregon by 8 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATArizona

25-59FG18-47

42.4%FG%38.3%

7-233PT5-19

30.4%3PT%26.3%

10-12FT18-28

83.3%FT%64.3%

38Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists14

10Turnovers14

10Steals6

7Blocks7

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Shelstad	G	35	7-16	3-7	4-4	4	1	0	3	21
Jermaine Couisnard	Guard	38	8-21	4-8	0-0	6	7	1	0	20
N'Faly Dante	Center	27	5-7	0-0	4-6	10	0	3	4	14
Kario Oquendo	Guard	30	2-4	0-2	2-2	2	0	2	0	6
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	19	3-6	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Jadrian Tracey	G	32	0-3	0-2	0-0	8	5	0	0	0
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	3	0	0
Mahamadou Diawara	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Oumar Ballo	Center	31	5-5	0-0	4-9	12	0	1	5	14
Pelle Larsson	Guard	34	3-6	3-5	2-2	2	3	1	1	11
Keshad Johnson	Forward	36	3-7	1-3	1-3	3	3	2	1	8
Jaden Bradley	G	22	2-4	0-0	4-4	2	1	0	0	8
Caleb Love	Guard	26	2-11	1-7	1-4	2	2	0	0	6
Motiejus Krivas	C	8	2-5	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Kylan Boswell	G	28	1-6	0-3	2-2	1	3	1	0	4
KJ Lewis	G	15	0-3	0-1	2-2	1	2	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

103.9Offensive Efficiency91.5

91.5Defensive Efficiency103.9

12.4Net Efficiency-12.4

48.3%Effective FG%43.6%

51.8%True Shooting %48.9%

15.7%Turnover Rate21.4%

20.3%Free Throw Rate59.6%

39.0%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Oregon won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.