Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.3%Baylor

91.7%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -16.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -1105

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 69

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreIowa State 86

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricIowa State

58.9MMH Power Index75.9

116.7Offensive Efficiency119.3

109.5Defensive Efficiency96.0

7.2Net Efficiency23.3

4.0Strength of Schedule4.9

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

69.7Tempo68.4

54.4%Effective FG%56.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

34.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

5.1Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–58.9), offensive efficiency (119.3–116.7), defensive efficiency (96.0–109.5), net efficiency (23.3–7.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (37.5–35.5).

Final

Baylor

62—76

Iowa State

Iowa State by 14 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATIowa State

23-59FG27-60

39.0%FG%45.0%

5-243PT10-20

20.8%3PT%50.0%

11-17FT12-13

64.7%FT%92.3%

42Rebounds28

14Offensive Rebounds4

14Assists17

13Turnovers6

4Steals9

3Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Bridges	Forward	35	7-16	3-8	3-4	12	1	2	0	20
Yves Missi	Center	30	5-8	0-0	4-5	11	0	0	2	14
Caleb Lohner	Forward	21	5-6	1-2	1-2	6	1	0	0	12
RayJ Dennis	Guard	38	3-12	0-6	1-2	5	11	1	1	7
Jayden Nunn	Guard	27	1-5	0-3	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	36	1-8	1-5	0-2	0	0	0	0	3
Josh Ojianwuna	F	10	1-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Miro Little	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	35	7-15	2-4	4-5	7	7	2	0	20
Curtis Jones	Guard	27	4-12	3-6	2-2	2	1	1	0	13
Milan Momcilovic	F	30	4-11	3-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Tamin Lipsey	G	35	3-7	2-3	2-2	5	6	2	0	10
Hason Ward	Forward	21	4-5	0-0	2-2	6	1	3	2	10
Tre King	Forward	31	3-6	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	8
Omaha Biliew	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

92.3Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency92.3

-20.8Net Efficiency20.8

43.2%Effective FG%53.3%

46.2%True Shooting %57.4%

19.7%Turnover Rate8.8%

28.8%Free Throw Rate21.7%

40.7%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.83

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.