Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%Providence

57.4%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarquette -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMarquette -135

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreMarquette 84

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricMarquette

54.2MMH Power Index52.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency106.0

113.2Defensive Efficiency106.9

1.8Net Efficiency-0.9

4.0Strength of Schedule4.2

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

74.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%50.5%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

37.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.3Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (115.0–106.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–50.5).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–113.2), strength of schedule (4.2–4.0), recent form (3.5–-1.3).

Final

Providence

68—79

Marquette

Marquette by 11 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATMarquette

20-55FG26-57

36.4%FG%45.6%

7-313PT8-15

22.6%3PT%53.3%

21-28FT19-24

75.0%FT%79.2%

37Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists14

11Turnovers8

3Steals8

5Blocks3

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	31	7-14	3-8	10-12	8	3	2	1	27
Jayden Pierre	G	37	6-16	2-8	2-2	2	0	0	0	16
Josh Oduro	Forward	32	2-4	1-1	4-6	10	0	1	1	9
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	27	3-7	0-3	3-3	2	1	0	1	9
Rich Barron	F	19	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	1	3
Ticket Gaines	Guard	39	0-9	0-8	2-3	10	1	0	1	2
Garwey Dual	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Rafael Castro	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Jones	Guard	34	9-17	2-5	3-4	5	5	3	0	23
Oso Ighodaro	Center	39	7-17	0-0	6-6	3	3	0	1	20
David Joplin	Forward	34	3-6	2-2	4-5	6	0	1	2	12
Stevie Mitchell	Guard	29	3-7	1-2	3-4	8	1	1	0	10
Chase Ross	G	26	2-4	1-3	2-3	4	3	1	0	7
Ben Gold	F	15	1-2	1-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Zaide Lowery	G	16	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	3
Tre Norman	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

102.4Offensive Efficiency119.0

119.0Defensive Efficiency102.4

-16.6Net Efficiency16.6

42.7%Effective FG%52.6%

49.8%True Shooting %57.7%

16.8%Turnover Rate11.9%

50.9%Free Throw Rate42.1%

56.4%3-Point Rate26.3%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Marquette won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.